MFIN:NASDAQMedallion Financial Corp. analysis
Data as of Sep 20, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $11.98
- Risk: medium
- 6/10Medium risk
Summary
At $11.98, Medallion Financial Corp. shows a bullish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages sitting above longer ones. Over a rolling month the price has gained 10.5%. Relative strength is 59.4 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bearish. Watch $11.40 as support and $12.26 as the nearer resistance level.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory: 9.0 times earnings against the sector's 15.8. Consensus targets land 8.2% below where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 2.5% on a 9.2% profit margin. The 4.68% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk comes out at 6 of a possible 10, a elevated reading. With 30-day volatility of 22.0%, a beta of 0.85 and a maximum drawdown of 26.0%, position sizing matters here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 2/10 conviction.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory: 9.0 times earnings against the sector's 15.8. Consensus targets land 8.2% below where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 2.5% on a 9.2% profit margin. The 4.68% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
Risk comes out at 6 of a possible 10, a elevated reading. With 30-day volatility of 22.0%, a beta of 0.85 and a maximum drawdown of 26.0%, position sizing matters here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 2/10 conviction.
Top market events
- Medallion Financial MFIN delivered earnings and revenue surprises of +14.
- SALT LAKE CITY, July 29, 2026 GLOBE NEWSWIRE -- Medallion Bank Nasdaq: MBNKO, the “Bank” , an FDIC-insured bank...
- Yahoo Finance1monMedallion Financial MFIN Q2 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptThe above button links to Coinbase.
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 10.09
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- P/E of 9.0 versus sector average of 15.8
- Trading above the 200-day average of 10.09
Long term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence2/102 out of 10
Key factors
- P/E of 9.0 versus sector average of 15.8
- Analyst targets imply -8.2% versus the current price
- Negative free cash flow
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth2.50%
Profit Margin9.25%
P/E Ratio9.0
ROE8.71%
ROA3.47%
Debt/Equity522.37
P/B Ratio0.7
Op. Cash Flow$174.9M
Free Cash Flow$-229346000
Industry P/E15.8
Technical analysis
TrendBullish
RSI59.4
Support$11.40
Resistance$12.26
MA 20$11.95
MA 50$11.05
MA 200$10.09
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index94.98
Valuation
Target Price$11.00
Upside/Downside-8.18%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.68%
Risk assessment
Beta0.85
Volatility22.01%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.