METSO:OMXHEXMetso Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time
Latest Price
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Metso Oyj is trading at €14.99, which sits below its 20‑day SMA of €15.66 and 50‑day SMA of €15.46, indicating a short‑term price weakness despite a bullish overall trend. The RSI of 35.9 suggests the stock is approaching oversold territory, while the MACD histogram remains negative, flagging bearish momentum in the near term. Volatility is elevated at 24.6% over the past 30 days, but the computed beta of 0.34 points to low systematic risk relative to the market. Fundamentals show modest revenue growth of 3.3% and solid cash generation, with free cash flow of €554 M supporting a 2.57% dividend yield and a payout ratio of 65%. However, the DCF‑derived fair value of €8.70 is far below the current price, implying the market may be overvaluing the stock. The PE of 25.8 is below the industry average of 30.4, offering a relative value cushion, and the dividend appears sustainable given strong operating cash flow.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearKey Factors
- Price below 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs
- RSI near oversold levels
- Negative MACD histogram
Medium Term
1–3 yearsKey Factors
- Modest revenue growth of 3.3%
- Dividend yield of 2.57% with sustainable payout
- Current price above DCF fair value
Long Term
> 3 yearsKey Factors
- Strong free cash flow supporting dividends
- Industry position in aggregates and minerals processing
- Low systematic risk (beta 0.34) and diversified geographic exposure
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Technical Analysis
Valuation
Risk Assessment
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.