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METSO:OMXHEXMetso Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-12 - not real-time

€14.99

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Metso Oyj is trading at €14.99, which sits below its 20‑day SMA of €15.66 and 50‑day SMA of €15.46, indicating a short‑term price weakness despite a bullish overall trend. The RSI of 35.9 suggests the stock is approaching oversold territory, while the MACD histogram remains negative, flagging bearish momentum in the near term. Volatility is elevated at 24.6% over the past 30 days, but the computed beta of 0.34 points to low systematic risk relative to the market. Fundamentals show modest revenue growth of 3.3% and solid cash generation, with free cash flow of €554 M supporting a 2.57% dividend yield and a payout ratio of 65%. However, the DCF‑derived fair value of €8.70 is far below the current price, implying the market may be overvaluing the stock. The PE of 25.8 is below the industry average of 30.4, offering a relative value cushion, and the dividend appears sustainable given strong operating cash flow.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price below 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs
  • RSI near oversold levels
  • Negative MACD histogram

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Modest revenue growth of 3.3%
  • Dividend yield of 2.57% with sustainable payout
  • Current price above DCF fair value

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong free cash flow supporting dividends
  • Industry position in aggregates and minerals processing
  • Low systematic risk (beta 0.34) and diversified geographic exposure

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth3.30%
Profit Margin8.13%
P/E Ratio25.8
ROE17.57%
ROA6.26%
Debt/Equity55.15
P/B Ratio4.4
Op. Cash Flow€641.0M
Free Cash Flow€554.1M
Industry P/E30.4

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI35.9
Support€14.99
Resistance€16.24
MA 20€15.66
MA 50€15.46
MA 200€14.57
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.59

Valuation

Fair Value€8.70
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.57%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.34
Volatility24.59%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.