METC:NASDAQRamaco Resources, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time
Latest Price
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Ramaco Resources trades at $13.64, well below its 20‑day ($14.74) and 50‑day ($14.54) SMAs, indicating short‑term price weakness, while the bearish MACD histogram reinforces a near‑term downside bias. The stock’s RSI of 42 points to a neutral momentum environment, but a 30‑day volatility of ~66% and a beta of 1.19 signal heightened price swings relative to the market. Fundamentally, the company posted a 9.7% revenue decline, negative operating margins (‑19.9%) and a trailing loss of $1.10 per share, with operating and free cash flow both deeply negative, underscoring cash‑flow pressure. Debt stands at $469 M versus $355 M of cash, yielding a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 100%, which amplifies financial risk. The forward EPS of $0.18 suggests modest earnings recovery, yet the forward P/E of ~77x is dramatically high, implying the market may be overvaluing future earnings. Analysts rate the stock as a “strong buy” with a median price target of $23.50, but the dividend yield of 1.99% is backed by a 500% payout ratio, rendering the dividend unsustainable. Recent news highlights Q1 losses and missed revenue estimates, tempered by operational progress at the Brook Mine and a planned Q2 shipment ramp‑up of up to 1 M tons, alongside share‑repurchase activity aimed at boosting liquidity. Overall, the stock sits at its technical support of $13.16, faces steep sector and regulatory headwinds, and must overcome cash‑flow and debt challenges before the upside potential reflected in analyst targets can be realized.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearKey Factors
- Technical weakness (price below SMA, bearish MACD)
- Recent earnings miss and negative cash flow
- Unsustainable dividend payout
Medium Term
1–3 yearsKey Factors
- Brook Mine milestones and anticipated shipment increase
- Forward EPS improvement and analyst upside targets
- Share‑repurchase program boosting liquidity
Long Term
> 3 yearsKey Factors
- High debt load and ongoing cash‑flow deficits
- Sector exposure to ESG and regulatory pressures
- Potential value upside if coal demand stabilizes
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Technical Analysis
Valuation
Risk Assessment
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.