METC:NASDAQRamaco Resources, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time
$13.84
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Ramaco Resources (METC) is trading just above a key support level while the 20‑day moving average sits marginally above the 50‑day average, suggesting a very thin short‑term upside. The Relative Strength Index hovers in the low‑mid 40s, indicating neither a clear oversold nor overbought condition, and the MACD histogram remains in bearish territory, reinforcing a neutral‑to‑bearish momentum bias. Volatility is unusually high and the stock’s beta exceeds one, meaning price swings are amplified relative to the broader market.
Fundamentally, the company posts negative operating margins and cash flow, a forward price‑to‑earnings ratio that is extremely elevated, and a payout ratio that far exceeds sustainable levels, casting doubt on dividend durability. Recent material news highlights a newly declared dividend and a non‑binding memorandum of understanding with a rare‑earth processor, which could provide ancillary revenue streams but remain speculative. Overall, the blend of weak earnings, high valuation multiples, and sector‑specific headwinds suggests caution despite the modest dividend yield.
Fundamentally, the company posts negative operating margins and cash flow, a forward price‑to‑earnings ratio that is extremely elevated, and a payout ratio that far exceeds sustainable levels, casting doubt on dividend durability. Recent material news highlights a newly declared dividend and a non‑binding memorandum of understanding with a rare‑earth processor, which could provide ancillary revenue streams but remain speculative. Overall, the blend of weak earnings, high valuation multiples, and sector‑specific headwinds suggests caution despite the modest dividend yield.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD momentum
- Price near technical support
- Elevated volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Uncertain cash‑flow outlook
- High forward PE
- Potential upside from strategic MOU
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Structural challenges in coal sector
- Unsustainable dividend payout
- Possibility of value‑realization if turnaround occurs
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-9.70%
Profit Margin-11.52%
P/E Ratio78.0
ROE-15.22%
ROA-4.80%
Debt/Equity107.28
P/B Ratio2.1
Op. Cash Flow$-58674000
Free Cash Flow$-97769872
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI42.3
Support$13.15
Resistance$18.10
MA 20$15.19
MA 50$14.79
MA 200$20.83
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.13
Valuation
Target Price$27.25
Upside/Downside96.89%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.76%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.35
Volatility77.66%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.