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METC:NASDAQRamaco Resources, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time

$13.64

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Ramaco Resources trades at $13.64, well below its 20‑day ($14.74) and 50‑day ($14.54) SMAs, indicating short‑term price weakness, while the bearish MACD histogram reinforces a near‑term downside bias. The stock’s RSI of 42 points to a neutral momentum environment, but a 30‑day volatility of ~66% and a beta of 1.19 signal heightened price swings relative to the market. Fundamentally, the company posted a 9.7% revenue decline, negative operating margins (‑19.9%) and a trailing loss of $1.10 per share, with operating and free cash flow both deeply negative, underscoring cash‑flow pressure. Debt stands at $469 M versus $355 M of cash, yielding a debt‑to‑equity ratio above 100%, which amplifies financial risk. The forward EPS of $0.18 suggests modest earnings recovery, yet the forward P/E of ~77x is dramatically high, implying the market may be overvaluing future earnings. Analysts rate the stock as a “strong buy” with a median price target of $23.50, but the dividend yield of 1.99% is backed by a 500% payout ratio, rendering the dividend unsustainable. Recent news highlights Q1 losses and missed revenue estimates, tempered by operational progress at the Brook Mine and a planned Q2 shipment ramp‑up of up to 1 M tons, alongside share‑repurchase activity aimed at boosting liquidity. Overall, the stock sits at its technical support of $13.16, faces steep sector and regulatory headwinds, and must overcome cash‑flow and debt challenges before the upside potential reflected in analyst targets can be realized.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • Technical weakness (price below SMA, bearish MACD)
  • Recent earnings miss and negative cash flow
  • Unsustainable dividend payout

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Brook Mine milestones and anticipated shipment increase
  • Forward EPS improvement and analyst upside targets
  • Share‑repurchase program boosting liquidity

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • High debt load and ongoing cash‑flow deficits
  • Sector exposure to ESG and regulatory pressures
  • Potential value upside if coal demand stabilizes

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-9.70%
Profit Margin-11.52%
P/E Ratio76.8
ROE-15.22%
ROA-4.80%
Debt/Equity107.28
P/B Ratio2.1
Op. Cash Flow$-58674000
Free Cash Flow$-97769872

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI42.2
Support$13.16
Resistance$16.65
MA 20$14.74
MA 50$14.54
MA 200$21.60
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.18

Valuation

Target Price$27.25
Upside/Downside99.78%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield1.99%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.19
Volatility65.89%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.