MERC:NASDAQMercer International Inc. analysis
Data as of Oct 1, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $0.31
- Risk: high
- 9/10High risk
Summary
The moving-average structure behind Mercer International Inc. is bearish at $0.3104, with short-term averages lagging the long-term ones. It has lost 34.0% over the past 30 days. Relative strength is 24.3 — oversold — and the MACD signal is bullish. Recent trading has carved out support near $0.3000 and resistance around $0.4100.
The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, so earnings multiples offer no valuation support. Analyst price targets sit 65.1% above the current price.
Risk scores 9 out of 10, which is high for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 62.5%, a beta of 1.61 and a maximum drawdown of 89.3%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on hold — conviction 2 out of 10.
The company is not currently profitable on a trailing basis, so earnings multiples offer no valuation support. Analyst price targets sit 65.1% above the current price.
Risk scores 9 out of 10, which is high for this asset class. With 30-day volatility of 62.5%, a beta of 1.61 and a maximum drawdown of 89.3%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 92 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on hold — conviction 2 out of 10.
Top market events
- NEW YORK, Aug. 26, 2026 GLOBE NEWSWIRE -- Mercer International Inc. “Mercer” or the “Company” Nasdaq: MERC , a...
- Mercer International Inc. MERC shares surged 84.07% to $0.76 after the bell on Wednesday after the company announced...
- Mercer International stock posted USD 460.
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence1/101 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- RSI at 24.3 signals oversold conditions
- Trading below the 200-day average of 1.18
Medium term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence1/101 out of 10
Key factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked below long-term ones
- RSI at 24.3 signals oversold conditions
- Trading below the 200-day average of 1.18
Long term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence2/102 out of 10
Key factors
- Negative profit margin of -27.9%
- Analyst targets imply +65.1% versus the current price
- Negative return on equity of -296.9%
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth1.50%
Profit Margin-27.86%
P/E Ratio-0.2
ROE-296.95%
ROA-6.46%
P/B Ratio-0.2
Op. Cash Flow$-84680000
Free Cash Flow$-52124248
Technical analysis
TrendBearish
RSI24.3
Support$0.30
Resistance$0.41
MA 20$0.36
MA 50$0.46
MA 200$1.18
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.07
Valuation
Target Price$0.51
Upside/Downside65.11%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Risk assessment
Beta1.61
Volatility62.54%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.