MEMA:NASDAQMan Active Emerging Markets Alternative ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time
$32.38
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
MEMA is trading at $32.38, exactly at its 30‑day resistance level, while the 20‑day SMA ($30.93) sits comfortably above both the 50‑day SMA ($29.11) and 200‑day SMA ($28.54), confirming a bullish structural trend. The RSI of 48 suggests neutral momentum, not yet overbought. However, the MACD histogram is negative (‑0.215) and the signal line is above the MACD line, indicating short‑term bearish pressure. Volume has been decreasing, with today’s volume at a single share versus an average 10‑day volume of 410, raising concerns about liquidity. Beta of 1.56 and a 30‑day volatility of 28.5% underscore the fund’s sensitivity to emerging‑market swings. The fund’s YTD return of 17.05% aligns with the “Extreme Greed” reading of the Fear & Greed Index (90.38), reflecting strong investor appetite. Expense ratio remains moderate at 0.85%, and tracking error is effectively zero, limiting cost‑related drag.
Given the proximity to resistance and bearish MACD, a short‑term hold or cautious stance is prudent. The upward alignment of the three SMAs and robust YTD performance support a medium‑term buying case, particularly for investors seeking exposure to diversified emerging‑market alternatives. Long‑term investors should weigh the high beta and liquidity constraints against the fund’s diversification benefits and modest expense profile. Overall, the technical backdrop is bullish but tempered by liquidity and short‑term momentum weakness. The fund’s maximum drawdown of ‑13.1% is manageable within the context of emerging‑market volatility. With no premium or discount and a neutral dividend outlook, price dynamics are driven primarily by market sentiment. Thus, MEMA presents a nuanced risk‑return profile that favors disciplined, medium‑term positioning.
Given the proximity to resistance and bearish MACD, a short‑term hold or cautious stance is prudent. The upward alignment of the three SMAs and robust YTD performance support a medium‑term buying case, particularly for investors seeking exposure to diversified emerging‑market alternatives. Long‑term investors should weigh the high beta and liquidity constraints against the fund’s diversification benefits and modest expense profile. Overall, the technical backdrop is bullish but tempered by liquidity and short‑term momentum weakness. The fund’s maximum drawdown of ‑13.1% is manageable within the context of emerging‑market volatility. With no premium or discount and a neutral dividend outlook, price dynamics are driven primarily by market sentiment. Thus, MEMA presents a nuanced risk‑return profile that favors disciplined, medium‑term positioning.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price at resistance
- Bearish MACD histogram
- Decreasing volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Upward SMA alignment
- Strong YTD return
- Extreme greed sentiment
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Diversification across emerging markets
- Moderate expense ratio
- High beta and liquidity risk balanced by growth potential
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio0.85%
AUM$12.1M
Inception Date2025-12-16
Avg Daily Volume410
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI47.8
Support$29.63
Resistance$32.38
MA 20$30.93
MA 50$29.11
MA 200$28.54
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.38
Risk Assessment
Beta1.56
Volatility28.50%
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.