We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

MEDX:NASDAQHorizon Kinetics Medical ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-23 - not real-time

$33.71

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

MEDX is trading at the upper end of its recent range ($33.71) just below the identified resistance of $33.71, while comfortably above the support level of $31.51. The 20‑day SMA ($32.70) sits just under the price, and the 50‑day SMA ($32.82) is also lower, indicating a modest upward bias. Momentum indicators are supportive: the RSI at 60 suggests the ETF is not yet overbought, and the MACD histogram is positive with a bullish signal line crossover. However, the overall trend is classified as neutral, and the 30‑day volatility of 17.5% combined with a max drawdown of roughly 10.5% points to measurable price swings. The fund’s beta of 0.54 signals lower sensitivity to broader market moves, and the expense ratio of 0.85% is modest for a niche health‑focused ETF. Investor sentiment is extremely bullish, reflected by a Fear & Greed Index reading of 91.6 (Extreme Greed).
Given stable trading volume, zero tracking error, and a modest dividend yield of 1.25%, the ETF offers a relatively clean exposure to the medical sector. The YTD return is slightly negative at -1.77%, but the 3‑year and 5‑year returns hover around 4‑5%, suggesting resilience over longer horizons. With no premium/discount and a diversified health focus, the fund presents a balanced risk‑return profile for investors seeking sector exposure without excessive volatility.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near resistance with bullish MACD
  • RSI at 60 indicating room for upside
  • Support level provides downside cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Low beta (0.54) reduces market risk
  • Expense ratio of 0.85% is competitive for a specialized ETF
  • Extreme Greed sentiment may support price appreciation

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified health sector exposure with stable tracking error
  • Historical multi‑year returns around 4‑5% demonstrate resilience
  • Modest max drawdown (~10.5%) and manageable volatility

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio0.85%
AUM$17.8M
Inception Date1999-09-30
Avg Daily Volume970
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Dividend Yield1.25%

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI60.3
Support$31.51
Resistance$33.71
MA 20$32.70
MA 50$32.82
MA 200$32.25
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Risk Assessment

Beta0.54
Volatility17.54%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.