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MDT:NYSEMedtronic plc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-09 - not real-time

$91.34

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Medtronic has delivered solid revenue expansion driven by cardiovascular innovations and strategic product launches. The company’s operating margins remain healthy, supporting robust cash generation. A strong dividend track record, highlighted by a recent increase, reinforces its appeal to income‑focused investors. Technical signals show the stock is trading below its short‑term moving average and exhibits oversold momentum. The relative strength index is in the oversold region, suggesting potential short‑term upside. However, the moving‑average convergence divergence indicator remains bearish, tempering expectations for an immediate rally. Volume trends have been weakening, indicating limited buying pressure at current levels.
Valuation models point to a price that is materially above intrinsic estimates, implying a discount to current market levels. Forward earnings multiples are more attractive than trailing, indicating improving profitability outlook. The announced acquisition of CathWorks could broaden the cardiovascular portfolio and drive future growth. Integration risk and the high payout ratio introduce some uncertainty to dividend sustainability. Nevertheless, free cash flow remains ample to cover dividend obligations and fund strategic initiatives. The company’s low beta and moderate volatility suggest a defensive profile within the medical‑device sector. Overall, the blend of solid fundamentals, dividend reliability, and growth catalysts positions Medtronic as a compelling long‑term holding despite short‑term pricing pressures.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • oversold momentum indicators
  • price near technical support
  • weakening volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • cathworks acquisition catalyst
  • sustainable dividend yield
  • improving forward earnings multiple

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • strong cash flow generation
  • dividend aristocrat status
  • growth potential in cardiovascular and diabetes segments

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth8.70%
Profit Margin13.00%
P/E Ratio25.5
ROE9.39%
ROA4.57%
Debt/Equity57.06
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash Flow$7.3B
Free Cash Flow$4.1B
Industry P/E25.4

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI29.7
Support$89.01
Resistance$103.63
MA 20$97.31
MA 50$98.55
MA 200$94.25
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index75.89

Valuation

Fair Value$48.23
Target Price$111.69
Upside/Downside22.28%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.12%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.45
Volatility20.24%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.