MCO:NYSEMoody's Corporation analysis
Data as of Oct 19, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $481.45
- Risk: low
- 3/10Low risk
Summary
The moving-average structure behind Moody's Corporation is neutral at $481.45, with no clear ordering between short and long averages. Across the trailing 30 sessions it lost 2.5%. Relative strength is 58.1 — neutral — and the MACD signal is bullish. Price has been bracketed by support at $438.01 and resistance at $490.85.
Multiples put this in overvalued territory: 30.5 times earnings against the sector's 15.7. Consensus targets land 14.5% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 15.1% on a 34.3% profit margin. The 0.85% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 3 — low. With 30-day volatility of 24.0%, a beta of 0.53 and a maximum drawdown of 23.6%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 89 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 1/10 conviction.
Multiples put this in overvalued territory: 30.5 times earnings against the sector's 15.7. Consensus targets land 14.5% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 15.1% on a 34.3% profit margin. The 0.85% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 3 — low. With 30-day volatility of 24.0%, a beta of 0.53 and a maximum drawdown of 23.6%, the drawdown profile is forgiving relative to most of the market. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 89 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 1/10 conviction.
Top market events
- Second-quarter revenue reached USD 2.19 billion, up 15.10 percent year over year. Moody's stock cost
- MCO stock costs EUR 434.50 on October 19, 2026 before results. Second-quarter revenue reached USD 2.
- Moody’s Corporation NYSE:MCO sits behind one of the strongest moats in finance.
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence3/103 out of 10
Key factors
- Trading above the 200-day average of 468.85
- MACD momentum is positive
- Maximum drawdown of 23.6%
Medium term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence2/102 out of 10
Key factors
- P/E of 30.5 versus sector average of 15.7
- Trading above the 200-day average of 468.85
- Analyst targets imply +14.5% versus the current price
Long term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence1/101 out of 10
Key factors
- P/E of 30.5 versus sector average of 15.7
- Analyst targets imply +14.5% versus the current price
- Profit margin of 34.3% is healthy
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth15.10%
Profit Margin34.25%
P/E Ratio30.5
ROE76.93%
ROA15.62%
Debt/Equity240.68
P/B Ratio27.6
Op. Cash Flow$3.3B
Free Cash Flow$2.6B
Industry P/E15.7
Technical analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI58.1
Support$438.01
Resistance$490.85
MA 20$462.88
MA 50$477.64
MA 200$468.85
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.89
Valuation
Fair Value$300.68
Target Price$551.38
Upside/Downside14.53%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.85%
Risk assessment
Beta0.53
Volatility24.02%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.