MBT:PSEMetropolitan Bank & Trust Co. Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-15 - not real-time
IDR 113.00
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Martina Berto’s shares are trading well below their short‑term moving averages, with the price sitting under the 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day SMAs, indicating a bearish technical stance. The RSI is in the lower‑30s, suggesting the stock is oversold, while the MACD line remains beneath its signal, reinforcing downside momentum.
Fundamentally, the company posts negative profit margins and a trailing EPS in the red, coupled with a very high debt load relative to equity, which raises concerns about earnings sustainability. However, the price‑to‑book ratio is markedly low and the discounted cash‑flow model points to a fair value far above the current market price, hinting at a potential valuation disconnect. The volatility metric is unusually high and trading volume has been declining, which together amplify short‑term price swings and liquidity risk.
Fundamentally, the company posts negative profit margins and a trailing EPS in the red, coupled with a very high debt load relative to equity, which raises concerns about earnings sustainability. However, the price‑to‑book ratio is markedly low and the discounted cash‑flow model points to a fair value far above the current market price, hinting at a potential valuation disconnect. The volatility metric is unusually high and trading volume has been declining, which together amplify short‑term price swings and liquidity risk.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- price below key moving averages
- bearish MACD crossover
- declining volume and high short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- significant valuation gap to DCF fair value
- oversold technical indicators may trigger a rebound
- stable consumer‑defensive sector backdrop
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- persistent profitability challenges and high debt
- potential upside if earnings turnaround materializes
- moderate exposure to Indonesian market and currency dynamics
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth9.80%
Profit Margin-6.04%
ROE-6.70%
ROA0.12%
Debt/Equity45.17
P/B Ratio0.3
Op. Cash FlowIDR15.0B
Free Cash FlowIDR26.5B
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI34.4
SupportIDR 110.00
ResistanceIDR 169.00
MA 20IDR 136.00
MA 50IDR 155.14
MA 200IDR 143.74
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88
Valuation
Fair ValueIDR 371.25
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta0.62
Volatility125.59%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.