MBRF3:BMFBOVESPAMBRF Global Foods Company S.A. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time
R$15.99
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical outlook: The stock is trading just above a key support level while sitting below its short‑ and medium‑term moving averages, indicating a bearish price trend. RSI sits in a neutral zone and the MACD histogram has turned slightly positive, hinting at a modest bullish momentum that could spark a short‑term bounce. Volume is on an upward trajectory, supporting the possibility of a rebound.
Fundamental outlook: Valuation metrics are stretched, with a markedly high price‑earnings multiple that suggests the market is pricing in optimistic expectations. Conversely, the dividend yield is exceptionally high and the payout ratio is very low, pointing to strong dividend sustainability. The company operates in a defensive consumer segment, holds ample cash, but carries a very high debt load and thin profit margins. Analyst consensus remains a buy, and the target price is materially above the current level, implying upside potential if earnings improve.
Fundamental outlook: Valuation metrics are stretched, with a markedly high price‑earnings multiple that suggests the market is pricing in optimistic expectations. Conversely, the dividend yield is exceptionally high and the payout ratio is very low, pointing to strong dividend sustainability. The company operates in a defensive consumer segment, holds ample cash, but carries a very high debt load and thin profit margins. Analyst consensus remains a buy, and the target price is materially above the current level, implying upside potential if earnings improve.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- price near immediate support
- bearish trend in moving averages
- slight bullish signal from MACD
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- high dividend yield with low payout ratio
- analyst buy consensus and target price above current level
- defensive consumer sector cushioning earnings volatility
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- strong cash generation despite high leverage
- potential for margin improvement through operational efficiencies
- sustained demand for protein and packaged foods in core markets
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-0.10%
Profit Margin0.23%
P/E Ratio48.5
ROE1.81%
ROA2.59%
Debt/Equity522.35
P/B Ratio2.0
Op. Cash FlowR$11.6B
Free Cash FlowR$2.5B
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI41.0
SupportR$14.98
ResistanceR$17.93
MA 20R$16.28
MA 50R$17.83
MA 200R$19.21
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Target PriceR$23.63
Upside/Downside47.80%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield35.28%
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.01
Volatility36.54%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.