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MBRF3:BMFBOVESPAMBRF Global Foods Company S.A. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time

R$15.99

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical outlook: The stock is trading just above a key support level while sitting below its short‑ and medium‑term moving averages, indicating a bearish price trend. RSI sits in a neutral zone and the MACD histogram has turned slightly positive, hinting at a modest bullish momentum that could spark a short‑term bounce. Volume is on an upward trajectory, supporting the possibility of a rebound.
Fundamental outlook: Valuation metrics are stretched, with a markedly high price‑earnings multiple that suggests the market is pricing in optimistic expectations. Conversely, the dividend yield is exceptionally high and the payout ratio is very low, pointing to strong dividend sustainability. The company operates in a defensive consumer segment, holds ample cash, but carries a very high debt load and thin profit margins. Analyst consensus remains a buy, and the target price is materially above the current level, implying upside potential if earnings improve.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • price near immediate support
  • bearish trend in moving averages
  • slight bullish signal from MACD

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • high dividend yield with low payout ratio
  • analyst buy consensus and target price above current level
  • defensive consumer sector cushioning earnings volatility

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • strong cash generation despite high leverage
  • potential for margin improvement through operational efficiencies
  • sustained demand for protein and packaged foods in core markets

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-0.10%
Profit Margin0.23%
P/E Ratio48.5
ROE1.81%
ROA2.59%
Debt/Equity522.35
P/B Ratio2.0
Op. Cash FlowR$11.6B
Free Cash FlowR$2.5B

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI41.0
SupportR$14.98
ResistanceR$17.93
MA 20R$16.28
MA 50R$17.83
MA 200R$19.21
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Target PriceR$23.63
Upside/Downside47.80%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield35.28%

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.01
Volatility36.54%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.