MAVI:BISTMavi Giyim Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-18 - not real-time
TRY 42.14
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Mavi Giyim is trading around the 42 TRY mark, just above its 20‑day SMA and below the 50‑day SMA, with a neutral RSI in the mid‑40s and a bearish MACD histogram, suggesting limited upside momentum in the near term. The stock’s beta of roughly 0.26 indicates low sensitivity to broader market moves, yet the 30‑day volatility exceeds 35%, reflecting sharp price swings and a heightened short‑term risk profile.
Fundamentally, the company delivers strong top‑line growth of about 24% YoY, solid gross margins above 50%, and a healthy free cash flow generation, while the DCF‑derived fair value of over 100 TRY points to a substantial valuation gap. The dividend yield near 4% is attractive, but a payout ratio above 100% raises sustainability concerns. Analyst consensus leans heavily toward a strong‑buy, with a median price target near 65 TRY, underscoring the perception of significant upside despite macro‑economic headwinds in Turkey.
Fundamentally, the company delivers strong top‑line growth of about 24% YoY, solid gross margins above 50%, and a healthy free cash flow generation, while the DCF‑derived fair value of over 100 TRY points to a substantial valuation gap. The dividend yield near 4% is attractive, but a payout ratio above 100% raises sustainability concerns. Analyst consensus leans heavily toward a strong‑buy, with a median price target near 65 TRY, underscoring the perception of significant upside despite macro‑economic headwinds in Turkey.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish MACD histogram indicating short‑term downside pressure
- Proximity to the identified support level around 39.5 TRY
- Elevated 30‑day volatility amplifying price swing risk
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Significant valuation upside implied by DCF fair value over 100 TRY
- Robust revenue growth and strong operating cash flow generation
- Attractive dividend yield despite payout concerns
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Sustainable competitive positioning in the apparel retail segment
- Consistent profitability metrics (ROE ~11%, ROA ~12%)
- Long‑run macro‑economic recovery potential in Turkey boosting consumer spending
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth23.70%
Profit Margin3.94%
P/E Ratio17.9
ROE11.07%
ROA12.21%
Debt/Equity34.62
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash FlowTRY8.2B
Free Cash FlowTRY2.4B
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI46.9
SupportTRY 39.52
ResistanceTRY 45.10
MA 20TRY 42.23
MA 50TRY 43.00
MA 200TRY 42.12
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.5
Valuation
Fair ValueTRY 109.33
Target PriceTRY 64.78
Upside/Downside53.74%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.99%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.26
Volatility35.62%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.