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MATV:NYSEMativ Holdings, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-16 - not real-time

$9.23

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

MATV is trading well below its discounted cash‑flow estimate, offering a large upside potential. The current price sits above the short‑term moving average but below the longer‑term averages, while the relative strength index hovers near the midpoint and the MACD histogram is positive, suggesting a modest technical bounce. However, the company’s fundamentals are weak – profitability is negative, leverage is extreme, and the dividend payout exceeds earnings, raising doubts about sustainability.
The high volatility and decreasing volume indicate a fragile price environment, and the sector’s exposure to regulatory scrutiny adds further headwinds. Investors should weigh the attractive valuation against the substantial financial and operational risks before deciding on a position.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • bearish technical positioning with price below longer‑term averages
  • high volatility and shrinking trading volume
  • questionable dividend sustainability

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • significant valuation gap relative to discounted cash‑flow estimate
  • potential for earnings turnaround if cost structure improves
  • still elevated leverage and earnings risk

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 4/10

Key Factors

  • persistent negative profitability and high debt‑to‑equity
  • structural challenges in the specialty chemicals sector
  • risk of regulatory constraints impacting margins

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth1.00%
Profit Margin-16.98%
P/E Ratio7.3
ROE-49.72%
ROA1.32%
Debt/Equity217.41
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash Flow$133.8M
Free Cash Flow$125.7M

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI51.8
Support$7.94
Resistance$9.39
MA 20$8.62
MA 50$10.44
MA 200$10.91
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.98

Valuation

Fair Value$14.32
Target Price$18.25
Upside/Downside97.72%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.33%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.73
Volatility44.35%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.