MATV:NYSEMativ Holdings, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-16 - not real-time
$9.23
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
MATV is trading well below its discounted cash‑flow estimate, offering a large upside potential. The current price sits above the short‑term moving average but below the longer‑term averages, while the relative strength index hovers near the midpoint and the MACD histogram is positive, suggesting a modest technical bounce. However, the company’s fundamentals are weak – profitability is negative, leverage is extreme, and the dividend payout exceeds earnings, raising doubts about sustainability.
The high volatility and decreasing volume indicate a fragile price environment, and the sector’s exposure to regulatory scrutiny adds further headwinds. Investors should weigh the attractive valuation against the substantial financial and operational risks before deciding on a position.
The high volatility and decreasing volume indicate a fragile price environment, and the sector’s exposure to regulatory scrutiny adds further headwinds. Investors should weigh the attractive valuation against the substantial financial and operational risks before deciding on a position.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- bearish technical positioning with price below longer‑term averages
- high volatility and shrinking trading volume
- questionable dividend sustainability
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- significant valuation gap relative to discounted cash‑flow estimate
- potential for earnings turnaround if cost structure improves
- still elevated leverage and earnings risk
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- persistent negative profitability and high debt‑to‑equity
- structural challenges in the specialty chemicals sector
- risk of regulatory constraints impacting margins
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth1.00%
Profit Margin-16.98%
P/E Ratio7.3
ROE-49.72%
ROA1.32%
Debt/Equity217.41
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash Flow$133.8M
Free Cash Flow$125.7M
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI51.8
Support$7.94
Resistance$9.39
MA 20$8.62
MA 50$10.44
MA 200$10.91
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.98
Valuation
Fair Value$14.32
Target Price$18.25
Upside/Downside97.72%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield4.33%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.73
Volatility44.35%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.