MATH:NASDAQMetalpha Technology Holding Limited analysis
Data as of Oct 1, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $1.07
- Risk: high
- 9/10High risk
Summary
Metalpha Technology Holding Limited trades at $1.07, with its moving averages tangled rather than clearly stacked — a neutral trend structure. It has gained 42.7% over the past 30 days. RSI sits at 61.0, which reads as approaching overbought, and MACD momentum is bullish. The recent range runs from support at $0.7800 up to resistance at $1.29.
The shares look fair, trading on 53.5 times earnings above a sector average of 15.1.
The composite risk read is 9/10, putting it in high territory. With 30-day volatility of 88.1%, a beta of 0.70 and a maximum drawdown of 81.3%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 91 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on hold — conviction 1 out of 10.
The shares look fair, trading on 53.5 times earnings above a sector average of 15.1.
The composite risk read is 9/10, putting it in high territory. With 30-day volatility of 88.1%, a beta of 0.70 and a maximum drawdown of 81.3%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. Thin trading volumes mean execution costs can be material on larger orders. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 91 on the fear-greed composite.
The horizons line up on hold — conviction 1 out of 10.
Top market events
- HONG KONG, Aug. 6, 2026 /PRNewswire/ -- Metalpha Technology Holding Limited Nasdaq: MATH the "Company" or "Metalpha" ,...
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence1/101 out of 10
Key factors
- Trading below the 200-day average of 1.25
- MACD momentum is positive
- 30-day price change of +42.7%
Medium term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence1/101 out of 10
Key factors
- P/E of 53.5 versus sector average of 15.1
- Trading below the 200-day average of 1.25
- 30-day volatility of 88.1%
Long term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence1/101 out of 10
Key factors
- P/E of 53.5 versus sector average of 15.1
- 30-day volatility of 88.1%
- Price-to-book of 0.94
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth1.10%
Profit Margin3.46%
P/E Ratio53.5
ROE2.87%
ROA0.23%
Debt/Equity1.01
P/B Ratio0.9
Op. Cash Flow$-14861934
Free Cash Flow$52.4M
Industry P/E15.1
Technical analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI61.0
Support$0.78
Resistance$1.29
MA 20$1.00
MA 50$0.91
MA 200$1.25
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.11
Valuation
Fair Value$15.51
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Risk assessment
Beta0.70
Volatility88.05%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.