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MAN:NYSEManpowerGroup Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-16 - not real-time

$30.73

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

ManpowerGroup is trading just below its short‑term resistance of $30.79 while holding above the 20‑day and 50‑day SMAs, indicating a modest technical upside. The MACD remains bullish and the RSI sits around 60, suggesting momentum is still supportive, but the bearish trend flag and high 30‑day volatility (~47%) warn of potential swing‑price moves. Fundamentals show a 7.1% revenue growth and a forward PE of 6.4x versus an industry average of 30.9x**, highlighting a significant valuation gap, yet margins are thin, earnings are currently negative, and both operating and free cash flow are in the red. The balance sheet is leveraged with a debt‑to‑equity of 101% and cash covering only a fraction of total debt, while the dividend yield of 4.9% is undermined by a payout ratio above 130%, casting doubt on its sustainability. Analyst sentiment is cautiously optimistic, with a median price target of $36 (≈20% upside) and a “buy” recommendation despite a recent downgrade to neutral from sell by Goldman Sachs. The extreme greed reading (88.98) reflects strong market appetite, but the combination of high leverage, negative cash flow, and sector cyclicality adds a layer of risk that investors must weigh against the upside potential.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near resistance with bullish MACD but high volatility
  • Upcoming earnings release could trigger price swing
  • Dividend payout ratio exceeds 100%, raising sustainability concerns

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Forward PE of 6.4x versus industry 30.9x suggests valuation upside
  • Revenue growth and forward EPS projection indicate earnings recovery
  • Analyst price targets imply ~20% upside from current levels

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • High debt‑to‑equity and negative cash flow limit financial flexibility
  • Staffing sector exposure to economic cycles and labor regulations
  • Potential for sustained dividend cuts if earnings do not turn positive

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth7.10%
Profit Margin-0.07%
P/E Ratio6.4
ROE-0.64%
ROA2.20%
Debt/Equity101.38
P/B Ratio0.7
Op. Cash Flow$-104100000
Free Cash Flow$-86150000
Industry P/E30.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI60.2
Support$25.77
Resistance$30.79
MA 20$28.35
MA 50$28.95
MA 200$33.89
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index88.98

Valuation

Target Price$36.89
Upside/Downside20.04%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield4.93%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.03
Volatility46.99%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.