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MAMA:NASDAQMama's Creations, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time

$15.41

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Mama's Creations is posting spectacular top‑line growth (revenue up ~60% YoY) but the profit margins remain thin (gross margin ~25%, net margin ~3%). The market price of $15.41 is far above the DCF‑derived fair value of $5.52 and the forward PE of 51, indicating the stock is heavily overvalued despite a 42% upside to analyst median targets. Technicals show a neutral price trend, a bullish MACD histogram and increasing volume, while the RSI at 62 suggests modest momentum but not overbought. The recent insider sale by CEO Adam Michaels adds a modest negative sentiment. Overall, the company sits in a low‑beta, consumer‑defensive niche, but the combination of high volatility (44% 30‑day) and extreme market greed (Fear‑Greed Index 89) raises caution.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Neutral price trend with support at $12.85 and resistance at $15.68
  • Bullish MACD histogram but limited upside above resistance
  • Recent insider sell adds short‑term caution

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth but thin profitability
  • Valuation still far above DCF fair value
  • Increasing volume indicating continued market interest

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Significant overvaluation relative to fundamentals and DCF
  • High forward PE and price‑to‑book ratios
  • Elevated volatility and extreme market greed environment

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth60.70%
Profit Margin3.08%
P/E Ratio118.5
ROE13.64%
ROA7.92%
Debt/Equity27.49
P/B Ratio11.9
Op. Cash Flow$11.4M
Free Cash Flow$6.2M

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI61.9
Support$12.85
Resistance$15.68
MA 20$14.07
MA 50$14.83
MA 200$12.66
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.29

Valuation

Fair Value$5.52
Target Price$22.00
Upside/Downside42.76%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta0.77
Volatility44.33%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.