MAAY:NASDAQGraniteShares YieldBOOST MARA ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-22 - not real-time
$7.19
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
MAAY is trading at $7.19, still below its 20‑day SMA of $7.25 and 50‑day SMA of $7.67, indicating continued bearish pressure. The 200‑day SMA sits at $12.22, far above current levels, confirming a long‑term downtrend. RSI at 42 suggests neutral to slightly oversold conditions, while the MACD histogram is positive but the MACD line remains below the signal, giving a mixed short‑term signal. Volume has been increasing, yet the 30‑day volatility of 25.5% and a beta near 1 point to market‑wide risk exposure. The Fear & Greed Index sits at 91.5, signaling extreme greed, which may be inflating price expectations.
Despite the price weakness, MAAY distributes $0.1468 per share weekly, translating to an annualized distribution rate of 98.2% and a SEC yield of 1.34%. The fund’s expense ratio of 1.07% erodes a portion of that yield. Since inception in November 2025, assets total only $2.9 million, and the ETF has experienced a historic max drawdown of roughly 72%, underscoring liquidity constraints. Liquidity indicators show a modest average daily volume (~13k shares) and a current market cap effectively zero, raising concerns about trade execution. Overall, the combination of high yield, elevated volatility, and limited asset base points to a high‑risk profile.
Despite the price weakness, MAAY distributes $0.1468 per share weekly, translating to an annualized distribution rate of 98.2% and a SEC yield of 1.34%. The fund’s expense ratio of 1.07% erodes a portion of that yield. Since inception in November 2025, assets total only $2.9 million, and the ETF has experienced a historic max drawdown of roughly 72%, underscoring liquidity constraints. Liquidity indicators show a modest average daily volume (~13k shares) and a current market cap effectively zero, raising concerns about trade execution. Overall, the combination of high yield, elevated volatility, and limited asset base points to a high‑risk profile.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Current price above immediate support but below short‑term moving averages
- Weekly distribution offers attractive yield in the near term
- Elevated volatility and recent bearish trend
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Persistent price weakness relative to SMA levels
- Potential distribution cuts if underlying MARA exposure weakens
- High max drawdown and limited asset base increasing downside risk
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Concentration in a single crypto‑mining asset amplifies sector risk
- Liquidity constraints may hinder exit at favorable prices
- Long‑term bearish technical profile and extreme market greed signal overvaluation
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio1.07%
AUM$2.9M
Inception Date2025-11-03
Avg Daily Volume13,400
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI42.1
Support$6.85
Resistance$7.61
MA 20$7.25
MA 50$7.67
MA 200$12.22
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.5
Risk Assessment
Beta0.98
Volatility25.54%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.