M:BVBMed Life SA Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-01 - not real-time
$21.76
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Macy's shares are trading at $21.76, comfortably above the 20‑day ($19.74) and 50‑day ($19.22) moving averages, and the MACD line remains bullish, suggesting short‑term momentum. However, the RSI sits at 64, edging toward overbought territory, and the price is near the identified resistance of $22.58, hinting at a potential pullback.
Fundamentally, the stock trades at a low PE of 9.38 and a modest PB of 1.18, yet the discounted cash‑flow model values the company at just $5.37, implying a ~11% downside from current levels. The business faces modest revenue contraction (‑1.1%) and a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 114%, while delivering a solid 3.5% dividend yield with a comfortable 31% payout ratio. Volatility is elevated at 40% over the past 30 days and beta exceeds 1.3, indicating heightened market sensitivity. Overall, the stock presents a blend of attractive yield and low multiples but is overvalued relative to intrinsic estimates and carries notable execution risks.
Fundamentally, the stock trades at a low PE of 9.38 and a modest PB of 1.18, yet the discounted cash‑flow model values the company at just $5.37, implying a ~11% downside from current levels. The business faces modest revenue contraction (‑1.1%) and a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 114%, while delivering a solid 3.5% dividend yield with a comfortable 31% payout ratio. Volatility is elevated at 40% over the past 30 days and beta exceeds 1.3, indicating heightened market sensitivity. Overall, the stock presents a blend of attractive yield and low multiples but is overvalued relative to intrinsic estimates and carries notable execution risks.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price above short‑term averages and bullish MACD
- RSI approaching overbought and proximity to resistance
- Increasing volume supporting current momentum
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value far below market price indicating overvaluation
- Revenue decline and high leverage raising execution risk
- Attractive dividend yield and low payout ratio supporting income focus
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Structural challenges in department‑store sector limiting growth
- Low valuation multiples may become appealing if turnaround occurs
- Sustained dividend and strong cash flow provide a floor to returns
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-1.10%
Profit Margin2.84%
P/E Ratio9.4
ROE13.64%
ROA3.36%
Debt/Equity114.55
P/B Ratio1.2
Op. Cash Flow$1.4B
Free Cash Flow$433.5M
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI64.5
Support$17.93
Resistance$22.58
MA 20$19.74
MA 50$19.22
MA 200$19.37
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.07
Valuation
Fair Value$5.37
Target Price$19.40
Upside/Downside-10.85%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.52%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.32
Volatility40.46%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.