LYTS:NASDAQLSI Industries Inc. analysis
Data as of Jun 9, 2026 - not real-time
- Latest price
- $23.45
- Risk: medium
- 7/10Medium risk
Summary
LSI Industries has delivered double‑digit revenue growth and a non‑GAAP profit beat in the latest quarter, underscoring strong top‑line momentum. The stock is currently trading above its 20‑day simple moving average, confirming a bullish price trend, but the MACD histogram has turned negative and the RSI sits near the midpoint, hinting at potential short‑term weakness.
Fundamentally, the company carries a high debt load, negative free cash flow, and a DCF‑derived fair value that is roughly half the market price, suggesting the market may be overvaluing the stock. The dividend is modest, with a low payout ratio, which supports sustainability despite the balance‑sheet pressures.
Fundamentally, the company carries a high debt load, negative free cash flow, and a DCF‑derived fair value that is roughly half the market price, suggesting the market may be overvaluing the stock. The dividend is modest, with a low payout ratio, which supports sustainability despite the balance‑sheet pressures.
Market outlook
Short term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence6/106 out of 10
Key factors
- Price above 20‑day SMA supporting bullish bias
- Negative MACD histogram indicating weakening momentum
- Increasing volume reinforcing current trend
Medium term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence5/105 out of 10
Key factors
- Revenue growth and recent earnings beat
- High debt-to-equity and negative free cash flow
- Market price substantially above DCF fair value
Long term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence4/104 out of 10
Key factors
- Sustained dividend with low payout ratio
- Elevated beta and volatility increasing systematic risk
- Potential for valuation correction as fundamentals lag price
Key metrics
Financial health
Revenue Growth13.60%
Profit Margin3.91%
P/E Ratio31.7
ROE8.31%
ROA3.92%
Debt/Equity89.04
P/B Ratio2.4
Op. Cash Flow$42.1M
Free Cash Flow$-12440375
Industry P/E33.3
Technical analysis
TrendBullish
RSI51.9
Support$21.97
Resistance$24.99
MA 20$23.61
MA 50$22.03
MA 200$21.26
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.23
Valuation
Fair Value$10.19
Target Price$30.50
Upside/Downside30.06%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.85%
Risk assessment
Beta1.44
Volatility40.22%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.