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LYTS:NASDAQLSI Industries Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-22 - not real-time

$23.26

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

LSI Industries is trading just above its recent support level, with the short‑term moving average sitting above the medium‑term average, indicating a bullish price bias. The stock’s RSI sits in the mid‑range, suggesting neutral momentum, while the MACD histogram has turned negative, hinting at short‑term bearish pressure.
Fundamentally, the company posted solid double‑digit revenue growth and a modest dividend payout, but operating margins remain thin, cash flow is negative, and debt levels are high. The DCF‑derived fair value is well below the current market price, implying the equity is overvalued despite analyst price targets that suggest upside. Recent earnings commentary highlighted a 14% sales increase and strategic gains from an acquisition, which provide a positive catalyst but may not be enough to offset valuation and balance‑sheet concerns.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price near recent support
  • bearish MACD signal
  • declining volume trend

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • steady revenue growth
  • high debt load
  • valuation appears stretched

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • persistent overvaluation relative to intrinsic value
  • negative free cash flow
  • elevated beta and volatility

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth13.60%
Profit Margin3.91%
P/E Ratio31.4
ROE8.31%
ROA3.92%
Debt/Equity89.04
P/B Ratio2.3
Op. Cash Flow$42.1M
Free Cash Flow$-12440375
Industry P/E39.5

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI54.8
Support$22.00
Resistance$24.99
MA 20$23.61
MA 50$21.15
MA 200$21.02
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Valuation

Fair Value$10.14
Target Price$30.50
Upside/Downside31.13%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.89%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.42
Volatility44.10%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.