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LYDYE:BISTLydia Yesil Enerji kaynaklari A.S. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-17 - not real-time

TRY 13,902.50

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Lydia Yesil Enerji Kaynaklari (LYDYE) is trading at 13,902 TRY, well below its 20‑day (15,235 TRY), 50‑day (15,723 TRY) and 200‑day (14,772 TRY) simple moving averages, indicating a persistent downtrend. The MACD shows a bearish divergence (line –565 vs signal –389) and the RSI sits at 25, suggesting the stock is technically oversold but still under pressure. Despite a low trailing PE of 11.97 versus the industry average of 20.71, the company’s fundamentals are weak: negative gross (‑6%) and operating margins, a sizable EBITDA loss, and a profit margin that appears inconsistent. Cash on hand (≈25 M TRY) offsets the zero‑debt balance sheet, yet the price‑to‑book ratio of 8.0 and a price‑to‑sales of over 500 imply the market is pricing in significant risk. Volatility is high at 28.8% over the past 30 days, beta is negative (‑0.37) and the max drawdown approaches 39%, reflecting a stock that moves contrary to the market and has experienced sharp declines. The limited material news focuses only on the company’s renewable energy operations, offering little new catalyst.
Overall, the stock sits at a critical support of 13,500 TRY with a wide resistance at 16,400 TRY, low liquidity (daily volume ~676 vs 10‑day average 1,716), and exposure to Turkey‑specific regulatory, geographic, and currency risks.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Price below all major SMAs indicating continued downside pressure
  • RSI oversold but MACD bearish, suggesting limited near‑term upside
  • Low trading volume and high volatility increase execution risk

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Trailing PE well below industry average, implying relative cheapness
  • Strong cash position with no debt provides financial flexibility
  • Renewable‑energy segment aligns with long‑term secular growth trends

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Exposure to Turkish regulatory and macro‑economic environment
  • Negative operating margins raise concerns about sustainable profitability
  • Potential upside if the company successfully monetizes its renewable assets

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth2.40%
Profit Margin1893.63%
P/E Ratio12.0
ROE36.93%
ROA-0.86%
P/B Ratio8.0
Industry P/E20.7

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI25.0
SupportTRY 13,500.00
ResistanceTRY 16,400.00
MA 20TRY 15,234.50
MA 50TRY 15,722.95
MA 200TRY 14,772.00
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.75

Valuation

GradeUndervalued
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.37
Volatility28.76%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.