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LYDYE:BISTLydia Yesil Enerji kaynaklari A.S. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-21 - not real-time

TRY 16,192.50

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Technical outlook: LYDYE trades at 16,192.5 TRY, just above its 20‑day SMA (16,061.9) but below the 50‑day SMA (16,581.8), indicating a short‑term edge but a medium‑term drag. The RSI sits at 51.5 (neutral) while the MACD histogram is positive (27.5) and flagged as bullish, suggesting modest upside momentum. The stock sits midway between its support (14,940) and resistance (16,870) levels, with volume trending downwards, which could limit price moves.
Fundamental outlook: The company reports a PE of 13.9 versus an industry average of 21.6, hinting at relative undervaluation, yet its PB of 8.63 and price‑to‑sales of 575 are markedly high. Revenue has plunged 39% YoY, operating cash flow is strongly negative (‑68.4 M TRY) and free cash flow remains in the red (‑40.8 M TRY). Despite a zero‑debt balance sheet and a striking ROE of 75%, the negative operating margin (‑111%) and a max drawdown of nearly 39% underscore financial fragility. The stock carries a negative beta (≈‑0.42) and a 30‑day volatility of ~15.8%, while the Turkish market environment adds notable regulatory, geographic, and currency risks. No dividend is paid, making dividend sustainability irrelevant.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD histogram indicating short‑term momentum
  • Price above 20‑day SMA providing technical support
  • Decreasing volume and negative cash flow raising caution

Medium Term

1–3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Continued revenue decline and negative operating cash flow
  • Elevated price‑to‑book and price‑to‑sales multiples
  • High regulatory and geopolitical risk in Turkey

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Renewable‑energy sector tailwinds and zero‑debt balance sheet
  • Persistently weak cash generation and high valuation ratios
  • Exposure to Turkish macro‑economic and currency volatility

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-39.30%
Profit Margin3860.96%
P/E Ratio13.9
ROE75.29%
ROA-0.13%
P/B Ratio8.6
Op. Cash FlowTRY-68428760
Free Cash FlowTRY-40826720
Industry P/E21.6

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI51.5
SupportTRY 14,940.00
ResistanceTRY 16,870.00
MA 20TRY 16,061.88
MA 50TRY 16,581.75
MA 200TRY 14,670.84
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.93

Valuation

GradeFair
TypeValue

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.42
Volatility15.76%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.