We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

LYB:NYSELyondellBasell Industries NV Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time

$71.81

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Recent earnings show a mixed picture: adjusted EPS beat expectations while revenue fell short, and EBITDA surged by roughly half year‑over‑year thanks to asset sales and operational improvements. Despite these positives, the top line weakness and a history of earnings surprises keep the near‑term outlook cautious. The stock trades near a technical support level with a neutral trend, a bearish MACD histogram, and decreasing volume, suggesting limited upside in the immediate term.
Valuation appears attractive given a low forward P/E relative to peers and a dividend yield that ranks among the highest in the sector. A discounted cash‑flow model signals modest upside, but the balance sheet is strained by a very high debt‑to‑equity ratio, which could pressure cash flow and dividend sustainability if market conditions worsen.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Technical indicators show bearish momentum
  • Revenue miss and volatile price action
  • Strong dividend but high leverage

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • EBITDA improvement and operational efficiencies
  • Undervalued relative to DCF and forward earnings
  • Attractive dividend yield with low payout ratio

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Potential for debt reduction through cash flow generation
  • Sustained dividend income
  • Fundamental value positioning in a cyclical chemicals sector

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-6.30%
Profit Margin-2.69%
P/E Ratio9.5
ROE-6.01%
ROA1.74%
Debt/Equity141.24
P/B Ratio2.3
Op. Cash Flow$2.6B
Free Cash Flow$987.0M

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI46.6
Support$69.13
Resistance$78.43
MA 20$73.27
MA 50$74.03
MA 200$56.08
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.79

Valuation

Fair Value$3.33
Target Price$79.94
Upside/Downside11.32%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield6.57%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.16
Volatility51.93%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.