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LYB:NYSELyondellBasell Industries NV Analysis

Data as of 2026-03-13 - not real-time

$72.30

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

LyondellBasell is trading at $72.30, just below the computed resistance of $74.54 and well above the 20‑day SMA of $61.23, indicating strong upward momentum. The 20‑day SMA sits comfortably above the 50‑day ($55.00) and 200‑day ($52.75) averages, reinforcing a bullish trend, while the MACD line ($4.56) remains above its signal ($3.42) and the histogram is positive. However, the RSI of 74.6 signals an overbought condition that could precipitate a short‑term pullback. Volume is increasing, supporting the current rally, but the high 30‑day volatility of 55% and a beta of 1.24 suggest price swings may be pronounced.
On the fundamentals side, LYB delivers a 6.46% dividend yield with a modest 11.5% payout ratio, backed by $2.26 B of operating cash flow, yet the company carries a heavy debt load ($14.7 B) and a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 144%, reflecting significant leverage risk. Margins remain negative, but forward EPS of $4.18 points to an earnings recovery, and recent analyst upgrades from RBC, Fermium, Citigroup and KeyBanc provide a supportive outlook despite a consensus “hold.”

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price is near resistance at $74.54
  • RSI indicates overbought conditions
  • High short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Forward EPS turnaround to $4.18
  • Strong dividend yield with low payout ratio
  • Analyst upgrades to Outperform/Buy

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Elevated debt‑to‑equity ratio
  • Cyclic specialty chemicals sector
  • Sustained high dividend yield

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-9.20%
Profit Margin-2.47%
P/E Ratio17.3
ROE-6.95%
ROA1.69%
Debt/Equity144.16
P/B Ratio2.3
Op. Cash Flow$2.3B
Free Cash Flow$447.0M

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI74.6
Support$54.27
Resistance$74.54
MA 20$61.23
MA 50$55.00
MA 200$52.75
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index72.88

Valuation

Target Price$58.61
Upside/Downside-18.93%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield6.46%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.24
Volatility55.16%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.