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LUNDBS:AQUISEUL E Lundbergforetagen AB Class B Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-18 - not real-time

SEK 519.25

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

LUNDBS is trading at SEK 519.25, comfortably below its 20‑day (SEK 542.4) and 50‑day (SEK 539.4) simple moving averages, signaling a short‑term technical pull‑back while still sitting above the 200‑day SMA (SEK 513.3) that supports a longer‑term bullish bias. The RSI of 20.1 places the stock in oversold territory, and the price is hugging a strong support level at SEK 517, suggesting limited downside risk in the near term. Fundamentally, the company appears markedly cheap: a trailing P/E of 10.66 versus an industry average of 29.5, a price‑to‑book of 1.01 and a DCF‑derived fair value of roughly SEK 903 indicate substantial upside potential. Revenue growth of 56% and robust margins (gross 63.8%, operating 34.9%) underscore solid operational performance, while a modest dividend yield of 0.94% with a low payout ratio (≈9%) points to dividend sustainability. However, the balance sheet is heavily leveraged, with a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 13.9, raising financial risk despite strong operating cash flow and free cash flow generation.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • RSI in oversold region suggests potential bounce
  • Price near strong support at SEK 517
  • High leverage could limit upside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Significant valuation gap (DCF fair value ~SEK 903 vs market ~SEK 519)
  • Strong revenue growth and high profitability margins
  • Low beta and moderate volatility support a stable price trajectory

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Diversified asset base in real estate, forestry and power
  • Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
  • Long‑term upside from undervalued fundamentals despite high debt

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth55.90%
Profit Margin31.82%
P/E Ratio10.7
ROE8.34%
ROA3.62%
Debt/Equity13.90
P/B Ratio1.0
Op. Cash FlowSEK8.2B
Free Cash FlowSEK7.0B
Industry P/E29.5

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI20.1
SupportSEK 517.00
ResistanceSEK 549.75
MA 20SEK 542.41
MA 50SEK 539.40
MA 200SEK 513.30
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.61

Valuation

Fair ValueSEK 902.83
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield0.94%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.30
Volatility15.95%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.