LULU:ADXLulu Retail Holdings PLC Analysis
Data as of 2026-03-17 - not real-time
$159.91
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Lululemon’s stock is currently trading below its 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages, with the RSI indicating an oversold condition and the MACD generating a bearish signal. Despite increasing volume and a bullish “Extreme Greed” sentiment index, the technical picture remains bearish, and the price sits near the lower end of its recent range.
Fundamentally, the company delivers strong profitability—high gross and operating margins, ROE above 40%, and solid cash generation—yet the discounted cash‑flow model places intrinsic value well below the market price, suggesting an overvalued situation. Analyst consensus leans toward a hold, reflecting confidence in the brand’s growth prospects but caution over the current premium valuation.
Fundamentally, the company delivers strong profitability—high gross and operating margins, ROE above 40%, and solid cash generation—yet the discounted cash‑flow model places intrinsic value well below the market price, suggesting an overvalued situation. Analyst consensus leans toward a hold, reflecting confidence in the brand’s growth prospects but caution over the current premium valuation.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price below key moving averages
- RSI in oversold territory
- Increasing volume but bearish MACD
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Strong profit margins and cash flow
- Robust revenue growth and brand expansion
- Potential price correction toward intrinsic value
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- High return on equity and sustainable operating cash flow
- Continued global store rollout and e‑commerce growth
- Resilient consumer demand for premium athleisure
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth7.10%
Profit Margin15.72%
P/E Ratio11.1
ROE41.02%
ROA20.29%
Debt/Equity39.16
P/B Ratio4.2
Op. Cash Flow$1.9B
Free Cash Flow$884.9M
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI33.6
Support$156.64
Resistance$192.49
MA 20$174.16
MA 50$184.03
MA 200$197.13
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index79.11
Valuation
Fair Value$131.01
Target Price$207.55
Upside/Downside29.79%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta1.23
Volatility41.66%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.