LUG:TSXLundin Gold Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-28 - not real-time
CA$84.03
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical outlook: Lundin Gold is trading below its 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages, with a low RSI and a bearish MACD histogram, while volume has been slipping, signaling short‑term downside pressure.
Fundamental backdrop: The company posted strong revenue growth, exceptional margins and robust free cash flow, maintains a debt‑free balance sheet and offers a high dividend yield that appears sustainable. A discounted cash‑flow analysis suggests a price target well above the current level, indicating significant upside despite the bearish technical setup.
Fundamental backdrop: The company posted strong revenue growth, exceptional margins and robust free cash flow, maintains a debt‑free balance sheet and offers a high dividend yield that appears sustainable. A discounted cash‑flow analysis suggests a price target well above the current level, indicating significant upside despite the bearish technical setup.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bearish technical indicators and declining volume
- High dividend yield providing downside cushion
- Current price already reflects some discount to intrinsic value
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued relative to DCF fair value
- Strong cash generation and zero‑debt balance sheet
- Potential rebound as technical oversold conditions correct
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Long‑term gold price exposure
- Sustainable high dividend supporting total return
- Consistently high profitability and free cash flow generation
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth59.20%
Profit Margin45.74%
P/E Ratio16.2
ROE68.45%
ROA46.55%
P/B Ratio10.9
Op. Cash FlowCA$1.2B
Free Cash FlowCA$1.1B
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI35.8
SupportCA$83.73
ResistanceCA$100.14
MA 20CA$90.43
MA 50CA$99.78
MA 200CA$102.97
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.64
Valuation
Fair ValueCA$171.33
Target PriceCA$114.54
Upside/Downside36.31%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield6.47%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.44
Volatility59.82%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.