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LTM:BCSLATAM Airlines Group SA Analysis

Data as of 2026-09-01 - not real-time

$49.77

Latest Price

9/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

LATAM Airlines Group S.A. is priced at $49.77, and its moving averages give no clean directional read — the structure is neutral. Over a rolling month the price has lost 3.8%. RSI sits at 40.4, which reads as neutral, and MACD momentum is bearish. Recent trading has carved out support near $49.35 and resistance around $59.18.
On valuation the read is undervalued — earnings multiple of 9.3 versus a 29.0 sector average, below the peer group. Consensus targets land 47.0% above where the shares trade now. Revenue is growing at 27.2% on a 9.9% profit margin. The 3.03% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 9 — high. With 30-day volatility of 40.1%, a beta of 1.72 and a maximum drawdown of 33.9%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 95 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 3/10 conviction.

Top Market Events

SANTIAGO, Chile AP — SANTIAGO, Chile AP — LATAM Airlines Group SA LTM on Tuesday reported profit of $125.The latest valuation update for LATAM Airlines Group trims the central fair value marker from CLP 33.LATAM Airlines Group SA LTM navigates a 93% fuel cost spike with resilient premium demand, record cash flow, and a $250...

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • Trading below the 200-day average of 53.22
  • MACD momentum is negative
  • 30-day volatility of 40.1%

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 1/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 9.3 versus sector average of 29.0
  • Trading below the 200-day average of 53.22
  • Analyst targets imply +47.0% versus the current price

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 3/10

Key Factors

  • P/E of 9.3 versus sector average of 29.0
  • Analyst targets imply +47.0% versus the current price
  • Revenue growth of +27.2%

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth27.20%
Profit Margin9.85%
P/E Ratio9.3
ROE107.99%
ROA8.19%
Debt/Equity454.53
P/B Ratio8.3
Op. Cash Flow$3.7B
Free Cash Flow$1.4B
Industry P/E29.0

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI40.4
Support$49.35
Resistance$59.18
MA 20$52.98
MA 50$53.95
MA 200$53.22
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index94.79

Valuation

Fair Value$139.88
Target Price$73.17
Upside/Downside47.01%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.03%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.72
Volatility40.14%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.