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LREN3:BMFBOVESPALojas Renner S.A. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-02 - not real-time

ARS 4,437.50

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

LREN3 is trading at 4,437.5, comfortably above its 20‑day (4,289.75), 50‑day (4,329.25) and 200‑day (4,191.24) simple moving averages, signaling short‑term strength. Technical momentum is reinforced by a bullish MACD (histogram +32.66) and a neutral‑to‑bullish RSI at 54, while daily volume is on an upward trend, suggesting growing trader interest.
Fundamentally, the retailer delivers solid profitability with a 9.4% net margin, 14.5% ROE and a healthy 62% gross margin, yet revenue growth is modest at 3.3% YoY. The stock appears **undervalued** on a price‑to‑book basis (0.37×) and carries a manageable debt‑to‑equity ratio (~28%), though net debt remains positive.
Risk factors are notable: 30‑day volatility is high at 54%, beta exceeds 1.0, and the consumer‑cyclical sector is sensitive to economic swings in Brazil and neighboring markets. Currency exposure (ARS) and emerging‑market geographic concentration add further upside‑down risk, while the absence of a dividend eliminates income stability.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price above key moving averages
  • Bullish MACD and rising volume
  • Proximity to resistance at 4,560

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued price‑to‑book ratio
  • Strong ROE and profit margins
  • Potential recovery in consumer‑cyclical spending

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable earnings and cash flow generation
  • Debt level manageable but requires monitoring
  • Exposure to emerging‑market macro risks

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth3.30%
Profit Margin9.37%
ROE14.48%
ROA6.42%
Debt/Equity27.93
P/B Ratio0.4
Op. Cash FlowARS3.0B
Free Cash FlowARS1.7B

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI54.3
SupportARS 3,892.50
ResistanceARS 4,560.00
MA 20ARS 4,289.75
MA 50ARS 4,329.25
MA 200ARS 4,191.24
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.63

Valuation

Fair ValueARS 25.29
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta1.11
Volatility54.39%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.