LONN:SIXLonza Group AG Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-14 - not real-time
CHF 561.50
Latest Price
4/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
At CHF 561.50, Lonza Group AG shows a bullish moving-average alignment, with shorter averages sitting above longer ones. Momentum indicators put RSI at 49.9 (neutral) with MACD reading bearish. Recent trading has carved out support near CHF 527.30 and resistance around CHF 580.80.
Valuation screens as overvalued: a P/E of 36.2 sits above the sector average of 29.8. Revenue is growing at 11.2% on a -1.6% profit margin. The 0.88% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 4 — moderate. With 30-day volatility of 21.6%, a beta of 0.21 and a maximum drawdown of 20.2%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is hold while the long-term read is sell, conviction 4 out of 10.
Valuation screens as overvalued: a P/E of 36.2 sits above the sector average of 29.8. Revenue is growing at 11.2% on a -1.6% profit margin. The 0.88% dividend yield looks covered by current payout levels.
On a 1-10 scale the risk profile lands at 4 — moderate. With 30-day volatility of 21.6%, a beta of 0.21 and a maximum drawdown of 20.2%, position sizing matters here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
Timeframes disagree: the short-term read is hold while the long-term read is sell, conviction 4 out of 10.
Top Market Events
WASHINGTON dpa-AFX - Lonza Group LZAGF.PK, LONN.SW , a Swiss manufacturer specializing in pharmaceuticals and...Seeking Alpha23dLonza Group AG LZAGY Q2 2026 Earnings Call TranscriptLadies and gentlemen, welcome to the Half Year...
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- Trading above the 200-day average of 526.70
- MACD momentum is negative
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Short-term moving averages stacked above long-term ones
- P/E of 36.2 versus sector average of 29.8
- Trading above the 200-day average of 526.70
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- P/E of 36.2 versus sector average of 29.8
- Negative profit margin of -1.6%
- Revenue growth of +11.2%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth11.20%
Profit Margin-1.60%
P/E Ratio36.2
ROE12.90%
ROA5.44%
Debt/Equity51.12
P/B Ratio4.8
Op. Cash FlowCHF1.4B
Free Cash FlowCHF-1567000064
Industry P/E29.8
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI49.9
SupportCHF 527.30
ResistanceCHF 580.80
MA 20CHF 563.18
MA 50CHF 546.07
MA 200CHF 526.70
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index95.98
Valuation
Fair ValueCHF 243.31
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield0.88%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.21
Volatility21.60%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
Similar Tickers
This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.