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LNW:ASXLight & Wonder, Inc. Shs Chess Depository Interests Repr 1 Sh Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-06 - not real-time

A$108.85

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Light & Wonder is trading well below its 20‑day and 50‑day simple moving averages, with the RSI lingering in the sub‑40 zone and a bearish MACD histogram, suggesting short‑term downside pressure yet ample room above the identified support around $105. Volatility is elevated at roughly 36% over the past month, while a beta under 0.6 points to limited correlation with broader market swings, and the Fear & Greed Index is perched in the “Extreme Greed” territory, hinting at strong speculative enthusiasm.
Fundamentally, the company delivers a robust gross margin above 70% and an operating margin near 23%, powered by a stellar ROE exceeding 50%. However, the balance sheet is strained by a debt‑to‑equity ratio in the high thousands, and the firm pays no dividend. Discounted cash‑flow analysis and analyst consensus targets imply upside potential well above 60%, positioning the stock as materially undervalued despite its leverage concerns.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support with bearish MACD
  • RSI indicating modest oversold condition
  • Elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Significant upside implied by DCF and analyst targets
  • Strong operating margins and high ROE
  • Revenue beat on earnings despite slight revenue miss

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable high gross and operating margins
  • Strategic positioning in the growing iGaming and social gaming segments
  • Long‑run upside potential outweighing leverage concerns

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth2.10%
Profit Margin7.39%
P/E Ratio25.2
ROE52.85%
ROA9.47%
Debt/Equity1667.52
P/B Ratio19.0
Op. Cash FlowA$748.0M
Free Cash FlowA$460.6M

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI38.8
SupportA$105.47
ResistanceA$134.00
MA 20A$118.93
MA 50A$116.10
MA 200A$132.55
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index93.2

Valuation

Fair ValueA$20.47
Target PriceA$175.00
Upside/Downside60.77%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta0.56
Volatility36.27%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.