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LNT:NASDAQAlliant Energy Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-22 - not real-time

$73.28

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Alliant Energy (LNT) is trading at $73.28, comfortably above its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages, with a bullish MACD crossover and an RSI of 55 indicating room for upside. Support sits near $70.89 and resistance at $75.76, suggesting a near‑term price corridor that aligns with the current bullish trend. The company posted Q1 earnings of $0.82 per share, essentially matching consensus and delivering a modest surprise, while the dividend yield remains attractive at 2.85% with a 64% payout ratio. Recent material news highlights a 370 MW service agreement for a hyperscale data‑center customer and a regulatory settlement enabling up to 1 GW of new wind generation at a 9.8% blended ROE, both of which could lift demand and support future growth. However, the balance sheet shows a very high debt‑to‑equity ratio of roughly 160 and negative free cash flow of over $1.2 B, raising concerns about cash generation and dividend sustainability. The stock’s beta is low, volatility at 16% over 30 days is moderate, and volume trends are weakening, which tempers short‑term momentum. Overall, the blend of strong regulated revenue, new growth contracts, and a solid dividend is offset by leverage and cash‑flow pressures, placing the stock in a fair‑value, blended‑growth/value sweet spot.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Price above key moving averages and bullish MACD
  • Recent large data‑center contract boosting demand
  • Attractive dividend yield despite leverage

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • High debt‑to‑equity ratio and negative free cash flow
  • Regulatory approval for new wind capacity supporting future growth
  • Stable regulated revenue base mitigating earnings volatility

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Long‑term utility fundamentals and dividend income
  • Ongoing renewable investment potential
  • Debt reduction and cash‑flow improvement needed for sustainability

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth5.00%
Profit Margin18.58%
P/E Ratio23.0
ROE11.31%
ROA2.62%
Debt/Equity159.53
P/B Ratio2.6
Op. Cash Flow$1.3B
Free Cash Flow$-1202625024
Industry P/E21.8

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI55.7
Support$70.89
Resistance$75.76
MA 20$72.54
MA 50$72.09
MA 200$68.24
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.5

Valuation

Fair Value$10.89
Target Price$79.13
Upside/Downside7.98%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.85%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.04
Volatility16.39%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.