LMNX:NASDAQDefiance Daily Target 2x Long LMND ETF Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-22 - not real-time
$13.15
Latest Price
9/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
LMNX is trading at $13.15, well beneath its 20‑day ($13.41), 50‑day ($16.40) and 200‑day ($25.50) simple moving averages, signaling a strong bearish bias. The RSI sits at 44.8, just under the neutral 50 level, while the MACD line remains negative (-1.19) despite a modest bullish histogram (+0.22). Volatility is extreme at 154.5% over the past 30 days, and the fund has suffered a max drawdown of roughly 78.8% since inception. With a 5.66 beta, a 1.31% expense ratio, decreasing daily volume and a tiny asset base (~$4.8 M), the ETF exhibits high leverage‑related risk and limited liquidity.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Price below all major SMAs indicating bearish momentum
- Extreme 30‑day volatility (154%) and recent ~79% drawdown
- Decreasing volume and small asset base limiting liquidity
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Leveraged daily reset amplifies tracking error over multi‑day horizons
- High beta (5.66) magnifies market swings
- Expense ratio of 1.31% erodes net returns
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Leveraged ETFs are unsuitable for buy‑and‑hold strategies
- Single‑stock concentration exposes investors to company‑specific risk
- Continued bearish technical profile and liquidity constraints
Key Metrics & Analysis
Fund Metrics
Expense Ratio1.31%
AUM$4.8M
Inception Date2025-10-15
Avg Daily Volume24,270
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI44.8
Support$10.81
Resistance$20.20
MA 20$13.41
MA 50$16.40
MA 200$25.50
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61
Risk Assessment
Beta5.66
Volatility154.55%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.