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LMNX:NASDAQDefiance Daily Target 2x Long LMND ETF Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-22 - not real-time

$13.15

Latest Price

9/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

LMNX is trading at $13.15, well beneath its 20‑day ($13.41), 50‑day ($16.40) and 200‑day ($25.50) simple moving averages, signaling a strong bearish bias. The RSI sits at 44.8, just under the neutral 50 level, while the MACD line remains negative (-1.19) despite a modest bullish histogram (+0.22). Volatility is extreme at 154.5% over the past 30 days, and the fund has suffered a max drawdown of roughly 78.8% since inception. With a 5.66 beta, a 1.31% expense ratio, decreasing daily volume and a tiny asset base (~$4.8 M), the ETF exhibits high leverage‑related risk and limited liquidity.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Price below all major SMAs indicating bearish momentum
  • Extreme 30‑day volatility (154%) and recent ~79% drawdown
  • Decreasing volume and small asset base limiting liquidity

Medium Term

1–3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Leveraged daily reset amplifies tracking error over multi‑day horizons
  • High beta (5.66) magnifies market swings
  • Expense ratio of 1.31% erodes net returns

Long Term

> 3 years
Cautious
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Leveraged ETFs are unsuitable for buy‑and‑hold strategies
  • Single‑stock concentration exposes investors to company‑specific risk
  • Continued bearish technical profile and liquidity constraints

Key Metrics & Analysis

Fund Metrics

Expense Ratio1.31%
AUM$4.8M
Inception Date2025-10-15
Avg Daily Volume24,270
Premium/Discount0.00%
Tracking Error0.00%

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI44.8
Support$10.81
Resistance$20.20
MA 20$13.41
MA 50$16.40
MA 200$25.50
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.61

Risk Assessment

Beta5.66
Volatility154.55%
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.