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LLYVK:NASDAQLiberty Live Holdings, Inc. - Series C Liberty Live Group Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-19 - not real-time

$98.46

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Revenue is surging at 35% YoY, yet the company posts a -88% profit margin and negative earnings per share, resulting in a negative PE and PB. With $524M in cash against $1.82B of debt, the balance sheet is strained, and the book value per share sits at a negative $3.45. Technically, the stock trades above its 20‑day (97.86), 50‑day (96.86) and 200‑day (91.39) moving averages, the MACD is bullish, and volume is increasing, indicating short‑term momentum.
Volatility is high at roughly 31% over the past month, and the Fear & Greed Index reads “Extreme Greed,” suggesting market optimism despite the underlying financial weakness. The upside potential is modest (~17% above current price) with resistance near $104 and support around $90, framing a cautious but opportunistic outlook.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technicals but negative earnings
  • Price near support at $90
  • Elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth trajectory
  • Substantial cash cushion relative to debt
  • Improving forward EPS outlook

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Uncertain path to profitability
  • Cyclical nature of the entertainment sector
  • Current valuation appears stretched

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth35.20%
Profit Margin-88.23%
P/E Ratio-34.4
ROA-2.05%
P/B Ratio-28.5
Op. Cash Flow$-21615000
Industry P/E16.7

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI51.5
Support$90.05
Resistance$104.20
MA 20$97.86
MA 50$96.86
MA 200$91.39
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index92.14

Valuation

Target Price$115.00
Upside/Downside16.80%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta0.74
Volatility30.91%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.