LLYVA:NASDAQLiberty Live Holdings, Inc. - Series A Liberty Live Group Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-26 - not real-time
$95.93
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Liberty Live Holdings is trading at $95.93, comfortably above its 20‑day ($93.92), 50‑day ($93.17) and 200‑day ($88.53) simple moving averages, and the MACD line sits bullishly above its signal ($0.89 vs $0.71) with a neutral‑to‑slightly‑positive RSI of 55. Volume is on an increasing trend, supporting the short‑term price momentum, while the 30‑day volatility of 31.8% and a beta of 0.85 indicate a stock that moves sharply but less than the broader market. The Fear & Greed Index reads “Extreme Greed,” reflecting strong market optimism despite the mixed fundamentals.
Fundamentally, the company posts a 35% year‑over‑year revenue growth to $398.5 M, yet margins are deeply negative (gross margin 20%, operating margin –26%, profit margin –88%) and earnings per share are –$3.83, leading to a forward P/E of 51.6 versus an industry average of 17. The balance sheet shows $524 M in cash offset by $1.82 B of debt, a negative book value per share (‑$3.45) and zero free cash flow, underscoring significant cash‑burn and valuation concerns.
Fundamentally, the company posts a 35% year‑over‑year revenue growth to $398.5 M, yet margins are deeply negative (gross margin 20%, operating margin –26%, profit margin –88%) and earnings per share are –$3.83, leading to a forward P/E of 51.6 versus an industry average of 17. The balance sheet shows $524 M in cash offset by $1.82 B of debt, a negative book value per share (‑$3.45) and zero free cash flow, underscoring significant cash‑burn and valuation concerns.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technical setup with price above key moving averages
- Increasing volume supporting short‑term momentum
- Upcoming earnings release that could confirm revenue trajectory
Medium Term
1–3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- High forward P/E (51.6) far above industry norm
- Sustained negative profitability and cash‑burn
- Elevated volatility and potential correction toward support at $88.33
Long Term
> 3 yearsCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Negative book value and heavy debt load
- Lack of dividend and no clear path to profitability
- Fundamental mismatch between revenue growth and earnings erosion
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth35.20%
Profit Margin-88.23%
P/E Ratio51.6
ROA-2.05%
P/B Ratio-27.8
Op. Cash Flow$-21615000
Industry P/E17.0
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI55.1
Support$88.33
Resistance$99.16
MA 20$93.92
MA 50$93.17
MA 200$88.53
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.8
Valuation
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta0.85
Volatility31.77%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.