LLYVA:NASDAQLiberty Live Holdings, Inc. - Series A Liberty Live Group Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-15 - not real-time
$98.23
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Technical outlook: The stock is trading comfortably above its short‑ and long‑term moving averages, with a bullish MACD crossover and an RSI that sits in the upper half of its range, suggesting continued upward momentum. However, volume has been trending lower and 30‑day volatility remains elevated, indicating that price swings could be pronounced.
Fundamental backdrop: Revenue is expanding at a rapid clip, yet the company continues to generate negative operating and profit margins, and earnings per share remain in the red. The forward earnings multiple is substantially higher than the industry average, and the balance sheet is weighed down by a large debt load despite a recent debt‑exchange transaction aimed at refinancing. Market sentiment is currently in an “Extreme Greed” phase, which may be inflating the price beyond intrinsic value.
Fundamental backdrop: Revenue is expanding at a rapid clip, yet the company continues to generate negative operating and profit margins, and earnings per share remain in the red. The forward earnings multiple is substantially higher than the industry average, and the balance sheet is weighed down by a large debt load despite a recent debt‑exchange transaction aimed at refinancing. Market sentiment is currently in an “Extreme Greed” phase, which may be inflating the price beyond intrinsic value.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bullish technical indicators support near‑term price stability
- Decreasing volume and high volatility raise short‑term uncertainty
- Recent debt exchange may temporarily buoy market sentiment
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Revenue growth offers upside potential if margins improve
- Elevated forward P/E suggests price may be stretched
- Debt burden remains a material concern pending further restructuring
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Fundamental weaknesses (negative earnings, high leverage) limit upside
- Industry dynamics in live entertainment are cyclical and capital‑intensive
- Current market enthusiasm may wane, aligning price closer to fundamentals
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth29.00%
Profit Margin-22.77%
P/E Ratio52.8
ROA-1.86%
P/B Ratio-184.0
Op. Cash Flow$-29455000
Free Cash Flow$9.3M
Industry P/E18.9
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI59.4
Support$85.61
Resistance$99.82
MA 20$93.01
MA 50$91.73
MA 200$86.71
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.64
Valuation
Target Price$106.00
Upside/Downside7.91%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta0.94
Volatility40.52%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.