LKFN:NASDAQLakeland Financial Corporation Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-15 - not real-time
$60.76
Latest Price
5/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Lakeland Financial trades at $60.76, roughly 5% below its DCF-derived fair value of $74.28, suggesting modest undervaluation. The stock’s P/E of 15.15 is well under the industry average of 17.46, while a dividend yield of 3.41% and a payout ratio below 50% point to a sustainable income stream. Revenue is expanding at a healthy 14.6% YoY and the company delivers strong profitability with an operating margin above 53% and a profit margin of 40%. Recent insider activity adds confidence, highlighted by a director’s purchase of 10,000 shares at $56.23 in March, reflecting internal belief in the company’s prospects. Overall, the fundamentals paint a picture of a solid, dividend‑focused regional bank with room for price appreciation.
Technically, the stock sits above its 20‑day (57.90) and 50‑day (58.86) moving averages, and the MACD is bullish, though the RSI at 65.6 signals near‑term overbought conditions. Volume trends are decreasing, and the broader market sentiment is in an “Extreme Greed” phase, potentially supporting short‑term buying pressure. The beta of 0.73 and 30‑day volatility of 18% indicate moderate market sensitivity, while the bearish trend direction suggests caution. Combining these signals, the stock appears poised for a balanced approach: hold in the near term, but consider buying on dips for medium‑ to long‑term horizons.
Technically, the stock sits above its 20‑day (57.90) and 50‑day (58.86) moving averages, and the MACD is bullish, though the RSI at 65.6 signals near‑term overbought conditions. Volume trends are decreasing, and the broader market sentiment is in an “Extreme Greed” phase, potentially supporting short‑term buying pressure. The beta of 0.73 and 30‑day volatility of 18% indicate moderate market sensitivity, while the bearish trend direction suggests caution. Combining these signals, the stock appears poised for a balanced approach: hold in the near term, but consider buying on dips for medium‑ to long‑term horizons.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Bullish MACD histogram
- RSI approaching overbought territory
- Price near resistance at $61.57
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- DCF upside of ~5%
- Attractive dividend yield with sustainable payout
- Strong revenue growth and operating margins
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Consistent profitability and cash flow generation
- Low beta indicating defensive characteristics
- Insider buying signaling confidence in future performance
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth14.60%
Profit Margin40.19%
P/E Ratio15.2
ROE14.29%
ROA1.51%
P/B Ratio2.0
Op. Cash Flow$114.9M
Industry P/E17.5
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI65.6
Support$54.36
Resistance$61.57
MA 20$57.90
MA 50$58.86
MA 200$60.98
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.64
Valuation
Fair Value$74.28
Target Price$64.00
Upside/Downside5.33%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.41%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.73
Volatility18.05%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.