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LKFN:NASDAQLakeland Financial Corporation Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time

$59.36

Latest Price

5/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Lakeland Financial delivered an earnings beat in the first quarter, with adjusted EPS surpassing analyst expectations while revenue growth stayed solid despite a modest miss on the top line. Dividend yield remains attractive for income‑focused investors and the payout ratio suggests sustainability.
The stock trades well below its discounted cash‑flow fair value, indicating a clear valuation gap, and technical signals show a neutral trend with a bearish MACD histogram and a price hovering near the mid‑fifties support zone. Beta under one points to lower market‑related volatility, yet the 30‑day volatility metric is elevated, reflecting short‑term price swings.
Overall, the combination of a strong dividend, undervalued pricing, and manageable risk profile supports a positive outlook, though investors should monitor the technical momentum and any shifts in loan‑loss provisions that could affect earnings consistency.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Quarterly earnings beat supports near‑term confidence
  • Bearish MACD and proximity to support level suggest caution
  • Strong dividend yield provides downside cushion

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Valuation gap between market price and DCF fair value
  • Sustained revenue growth and solid operating margins
  • Dividend sustainability enhances total return potential

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued pricing relative to fundamentals and industry peers
  • Low beta and stable cash flow generation
  • Attractive dividend yield combined with manageable debt profile

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth18.80%
Profit Margin40.97%
P/E Ratio13.9
ROE15.21%
ROA1.57%
P/B Ratio2.0
Op. Cash Flow$120.6M
Industry P/E16.6

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI48.7
Support$56.56
Resistance$63.03
MA 20$60.13
MA 50$59.00
MA 200$60.41
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.71

Valuation

Fair Value$97.86
Target Price$65.50
Upside/Downside10.34%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield3.57%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.76
Volatility25.38%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.