LISN:SIXChocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time
CHF 94,400.00
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Lindt & Sprüngli appears to be at a technical inflection point, with momentum indicators turning bullish while the broader trend remains bearish. The RSI is firmly in the oversold zone, suggesting a potential short‑term price rebound, and the MACD histogram has flipped to positive, reinforcing upside bias. Current pricing sits just above a well‑defined support level and below a clear resistance barrier, with volume accelerating, which often precedes a bounce.
Fundamentally, the company delivers strong margins and healthy cash generation, but valuation multiples are elevated and a discounted cash‑flow model points to a price far below today’s level, indicating that the stock may be priced for perfection. The absence of a dividend eliminates income‑focused appeal, and high recent volatility adds to the risk profile. Investors should weigh the upside catalyst against the valuation premium and consider a measured approach.
Fundamentally, the company delivers strong margins and healthy cash generation, but valuation multiples are elevated and a discounted cash‑flow model points to a price far below today’s level, indicating that the stock may be priced for perfection. The absence of a dividend eliminates income‑focused appeal, and high recent volatility adds to the risk profile. Investors should weigh the upside catalyst against the valuation premium and consider a measured approach.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- RSI in oversold territory
- MACD histogram turning positive
- Price near strong support with rising volume
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Robust profit margins and cash flow
- Valuation still above fair value estimates
- Defensive consumer sector providing stability
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Brand strength and global distribution network
- Lack of dividend reduces total return potential
- Elevated valuation and volatility pose downside risk
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth7.50%
Profit Margin12.22%
P/E Ratio30.1
ROE14.84%
ROA6.71%
Debt/Equity35.61
P/B Ratio4.4
Op. Cash FlowCHF520.4M
Free Cash FlowCHF249.0M
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI25.6
SupportCHF 93,900.00
ResistanceCHF 100,900.00
MA 20CHF 96,705.00
MA 50CHF 103,796.00
MA 200CHF 115,888.00
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Fair ValueCHF 3,173.14
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta-0.06
Volatility33.50%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.