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LISN:SIXChocoladefabriken Lindt & Spruengli AG Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time

CHF 94,400.00

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Lindt & Sprüngli appears to be at a technical inflection point, with momentum indicators turning bullish while the broader trend remains bearish. The RSI is firmly in the oversold zone, suggesting a potential short‑term price rebound, and the MACD histogram has flipped to positive, reinforcing upside bias. Current pricing sits just above a well‑defined support level and below a clear resistance barrier, with volume accelerating, which often precedes a bounce.
Fundamentally, the company delivers strong margins and healthy cash generation, but valuation multiples are elevated and a discounted cash‑flow model points to a price far below today’s level, indicating that the stock may be priced for perfection. The absence of a dividend eliminates income‑focused appeal, and high recent volatility adds to the risk profile. Investors should weigh the upside catalyst against the valuation premium and consider a measured approach.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • RSI in oversold territory
  • MACD histogram turning positive
  • Price near strong support with rising volume

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Robust profit margins and cash flow
  • Valuation still above fair value estimates
  • Defensive consumer sector providing stability

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Brand strength and global distribution network
  • Lack of dividend reduces total return potential
  • Elevated valuation and volatility pose downside risk

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth7.50%
Profit Margin12.22%
P/E Ratio30.1
ROE14.84%
ROA6.71%
Debt/Equity35.61
P/B Ratio4.4
Op. Cash FlowCHF520.4M
Free Cash FlowCHF249.0M

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI25.6
SupportCHF 93,900.00
ResistanceCHF 100,900.00
MA 20CHF 96,705.00
MA 50CHF 103,796.00
MA 200CHF 115,888.00
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair ValueCHF 3,173.14
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta-0.06
Volatility33.50%
Sector RiskLow
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.