LINE:NASDAQLineage, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-23 - not real-time
$40.39
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Lineage, Inc. trades at $40.39, just above its technical support of $39.81, giving a modest cushion. The 20‑day SMA of $42.92 lies above the current price, indicating short‑term downside pressure, while the 200‑day SMA of $37.87 remains well below, supporting a longer‑term bullish bias. The RSI of 44 suggests the stock is neither overbought nor oversold. MACD shows a bearish histogram, hinting at potential near‑term weakness. Volume has been stable, and the beta of 1.20 points to slightly higher volatility than the market. The 5.27% dividend yield is attractive, especially after the recent Q2 dividend of $0.5325 per share. The DCF fair value of $14.60 implies a significant discount to market, but the upside estimate from the model is only 6.5%, reflecting the market’s pricing of risk.
Underlying fundamentals are mixed: revenue of $5.36 B grew only 0.4% YoY, while profit margin is –2.7% and EPS remains negative. EBITDA of $1.16 B generates solid operating cash flow of $934 M, yet free cash flow of $898 M is modest relative to total debt of $8.49 B. Debt‑to‑equity of 93.7% and a negative ROE highlight balance‑sheet strain. The REIT operates globally across North America, Europe and Asia‑Pacific, exposing it to geographic and currency headwinds. Analyst consensus is a “hold” with a median price target of $42, indicating limited upside beyond the current level.
Underlying fundamentals are mixed: revenue of $5.36 B grew only 0.4% YoY, while profit margin is –2.7% and EPS remains negative. EBITDA of $1.16 B generates solid operating cash flow of $934 M, yet free cash flow of $898 M is modest relative to total debt of $8.49 B. Debt‑to‑equity of 93.7% and a negative ROE highlight balance‑sheet strain. The REIT operates globally across North America, Europe and Asia‑Pacific, exposing it to geographic and currency headwinds. Analyst consensus is a “hold” with a median price target of $42, indicating limited upside beyond the current level.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price hovering just above technical support
- Attractive dividend yield of 5.27%
- Bearish MACD histogram indicating near‑term weakness
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Stable operating cash flow supporting dividend sustainability
- Modest upside potential (~6.5%) per DCF valuation
- Long‑term bullish trend supported by 200‑day SMA
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- High debt‑to‑equity ratio and negative ROE
- Global footprint exposing the REIT to geographic and currency risks
- Consistent dividend payouts providing income despite earnings volatility
Key Metrics & Analysis
REIT Metrics
P/FFO10.843368428265524
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI43.7
Support$39.81
Resistance$45.37
MA 20$42.92
MA 50$39.64
MA 200$37.87
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index86.16
Risk Assessment
Beta1.20
Volatility35.96%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.