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LILA:NASDAQLiberty Latin America Ltd. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-15 - not real-time

$8.11

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Liberty Latin America is trading just above its technical support of $7.65, with the 20‑day SMA ($8.23) sitting above both the 50‑day ($8.01) and 200‑day ($7.76) averages, signaling a bullish trend despite a bearish MACD histogram. Volume is declining, and the MACD line sits below its signal, suggesting short‑term momentum may be weakening, yet the overall trend direction remains bullish and the Fear/Greed Index is in the "Extreme Greed" zone, indicating strong market optimism.
Fundamentally, the company carries a very high debt‑to‑equity ratio (over 800) and currently reports negative operating and profit margins, but a positive EBITDA of $1.13 B and free cash flow of $206 M point to improving cash generation. Forward earnings are projected to turn positive ($0.72 EPS) and the forward P/E of ~11.3 is well below the industry average of ~18.9, implying the stock is undervalued. Recent earnings calls highlight the addition of 225,000 mobile postpaid subscribers and strategic moves into cloud and 5G, supporting a medium‑term growth narrative. The upside potential of roughly 47% versus downside risk of about 9% further reinforces a favorable risk‑reward profile.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical support with bullish SMA alignment
  • Decreasing volume and bearish MACD signal
  • Positive subscriber additions but still negative margins

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Forward EPS turning positive and low forward P/E vs peers
  • Momentum from mobile postpaid subscriber growth and cloud partnership
  • Undervalued price relative to target median of $13

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Strategic 5G and AI initiatives driving future revenue expansion
  • Improving cash flow and potential debt reduction over time
  • Broad geographic footprint offering diversified growth opportunities

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth1.70%
Profit Margin-13.76%
P/E Ratio11.3
ROE-41.72%
ROA1.13%
Debt/Equity831.65
P/B Ratio2.9
Op. Cash Flow$805.9M
Free Cash Flow$206.5M
Industry P/E18.9

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI48.8
Support$7.65
Resistance$8.79
MA 20$8.23
MA 50$8.01
MA 200$7.76
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.64

Valuation

Target Price$11.90
Upside/Downside46.73%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta0.68
Volatility35.74%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.