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LII:NYSELennox International, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-15 - not real-time

$520.42

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Lennox International (LII) is trading at $520.42, just below its 52‑week high of $689 and near the computed resistance level of $524.4, while the 20‑day SMA ($473) and 50‑day SMA ($510) sit comfortably below the price, indicating short‑term strength. However, the 200‑day SMA ($531) remains above the market price and the quantitative trend is flagged as bearish, supported by decreasing volume and a high 30‑day volatility of ~46%. The RSI of 62 points to modest overbought pressure, yet the MACD histogram is positive and the signal line is bullish, hinting at a possible short‑term momentum shift. The stock’s PE of 22.8 is well under the industry average of 31.2, suggesting relative valuation appeal.
Fundamentals show a resilient profit profile with a 15.5% net margin, 19.7% operating margin and an impressive ROE of 76%, albeit on a shrinking revenue base (‑11% YoY). Cash flow remains healthy (operating cash flow $758M, free cash flow $319M) despite a high debt‑to‑equity of 152%, and the modest 1% dividend yield is covered by a low payout ratio of 22%. Analyst sentiment is mixed: the consensus rating is “hold” with a median price target of $545 (+5% upside), while Oppenheimer recently lifted its objective to $645 and reaffirmed an Outperform stance. These dynamics, combined with the “Extreme Greed” market sentiment (fear‑greed index 88.6), position LII as a candidate for investors seeking a blend of value and growth upside.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Price near resistance level of $524.4
  • Decreasing volume and high short‑term volatility
  • Bullish MACD histogram suggesting potential reversal

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst upgrades and Oppenheimer price target of $645
  • PE ratio well below industry average
  • Strong profitability margins and ROE

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable dividend with low payout ratio
  • Robust cash flow generation despite high leverage
  • Long‑term demand for HVAC and climate‑control solutions

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-11.20%
Profit Margin15.51%
P/E Ratio22.8
ROE75.83%
ROA16.92%
Debt/Equity152.24
P/B Ratio15.6
Op. Cash Flow$757.6M
Free Cash Flow$319.4M
Industry P/E31.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI62.6
Support$434.06
Resistance$524.43
MA 20$473.20
MA 50$510.01
MA 200$531.60
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index88.64

Valuation

Fair Value$74.20
Target Price$546.81
Upside/Downside5.07%
GradeFair
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield1.00%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.17
Volatility45.79%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.