LII:NYSELennox International, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-20 - not real-time
$493.48
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Momentum and valuation signals suggest a near‑term inflection point. The 20‑day SMA sits at 510.85 while price trades at 493.48, below both the 20‑day and 50‑day moving averages, indicating a short‑term weakness. Technical indicators reinforce this view: RSI14 is 45.7 (neutral to slightly oversold), MACD line is marginally positive but the histogram is negative and the MACD signal is flagged as bearish, and the market is trading in a neutral trend with volume decreasing.
Fundamentally, LII appears undervalued on earnings (trailing P/E 21.94 versus industry average 29.59) yet overvalued on book (P/B 14.15), with a modest dividend yield of 1.08% and a low payout ratio of 23%, supporting dividend sustainability. Revenue grew 5.8% YoY to $5.26 B and GAAP EPS beat consensus by 6.7%, underscoring growth momentum.
Risk‑adjusted metrics show a beta of 1.227, 30‑day volatility of ~40% and a max drawdown of –34%, pointing to a moderate‑high risk profile, while the stock sits near its support level of $478.44 and well below its resistance of $551.50, offering limited upside in the immediate horizon.
Fundamentally, LII appears undervalued on earnings (trailing P/E 21.94 versus industry average 29.59) yet overvalued on book (P/B 14.15), with a modest dividend yield of 1.08% and a low payout ratio of 23%, supporting dividend sustainability. Revenue grew 5.8% YoY to $5.26 B and GAAP EPS beat consensus by 6.7%, underscoring growth momentum.
Risk‑adjusted metrics show a beta of 1.227, 30‑day volatility of ~40% and a max drawdown of –34%, pointing to a moderate‑high risk profile, while the stock sits near its support level of $478.44 and well below its resistance of $551.50, offering limited upside in the immediate horizon.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- price below short‑term moving averages
- bearish MACD histogram
- proximity to support level
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- earnings beat and revenue growth
- undervalued P/E relative to industry
- sustainable dividend payout
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- consistent revenue expansion
- strong operating margins
- industry‑leading market position in HVAC equipment
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth5.80%
Profit Margin15.09%
P/E Ratio21.9
ROE76.79%
ROA16.74%
Debt/Equity161.04
P/B Ratio14.2
Op. Cash Flow$809.5M
Free Cash Flow$187.1M
Industry P/E29.6
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI45.7
Support$478.44
Resistance$551.50
MA 20$510.85
MA 50$491.17
MA 200$517.62
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.98
Valuation
Fair Value$34.43
Target Price$567.06
Upside/Downside14.91%
GradeUndervalued
TypeGrowth
Dividend Yield1.08%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.30
Volatility39.99%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.