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LIF:NASDAQLife360, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-21 - not real-time

$39.62

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Life360 posted a **38% revenue surge** driven by subscription growth and the Nativo integration, pushing quarterly revenue to $143.1 M and expanding MAU to 3.0 M. Despite the top‑line strength, the company still wrestles with a **‑5.6% operating margin**, a **high beta (~2.1)** and **30‑day volatility above 77%**, which together keep the stock’s risk profile elevated. The DCF‑derived fair value of roughly $28 per share sits well below the current market price of $39.62, implying the market is pricing in continued growth but also reflecting the **“Extreme Greed” sentiment** evident in the fear‑greed index. Technicals are mixed: the 20‑day SMA sits just above the 50‑day SMA, while the MACD is in a bearish divergence, suggesting short‑term downside pressure despite a neutral overall trend.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD histogram and signal
  • Current price above DCF fair value
  • Elevated short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained revenue growth and expanding MAU
  • Improving cash conversion (operating cash flow > $93 M)
  • Still‑high operating leverage and margin pressure

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong top‑line growth trajectory and subscription tailwinds
  • Robust free cash flow generation
  • Potential upside if operating efficiency improves and margins turn positive

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth38.10%
Profit Margin28.21%
P/E Ratio22.6
ROE30.65%
ROA0.71%
Debt/Equity52.07
P/B Ratio5.3
Op. Cash Flow$93.8M
Free Cash Flow$60.4M
Industry P/E38.8

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI42.7
Support$37.65
Resistance$47.04
MA 20$42.49
MA 50$42.09
MA 200$68.27
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index90.63

Valuation

Fair Value$27.92
Target Price$62.70
Upside/Downside58.25%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta2.13
Volatility77.13%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.