LI:NASDAQLi Auto Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-08-28 - not real-time
$12.18
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Li Auto Inc. is priced at $12.18, and its moving averages give no clean directional read — the structure is neutral. The last 30 days have lost 5.3%. With RSI at 42.7 the momentum picture is neutral, alongside a bearish MACD signal. Recent trading has carved out support near $12.11 and resistance around $13.65.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory at a P/E of 12.6. Analyst price targets sit 41.3% above the current price. Revenue is contracting at 15.1% on a -4.4% profit margin.
The composite risk read is 7/10, putting it in elevated territory. With 30-day volatility of 39.0%, a beta of 0.68 and a maximum drawdown of 56.0%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 2/10 conviction.
Multiples put this in undervalued territory at a P/E of 12.6. Analyst price targets sit 41.3% above the current price. Revenue is contracting at 15.1% on a -4.4% profit margin.
The composite risk read is 7/10, putting it in elevated territory. With 30-day volatility of 39.0%, a beta of 0.68 and a maximum drawdown of 56.0%, position sizing matters more than entry timing here. The wider market backdrop reads extreme greed at 96 on the fear-greed composite.
All three time horizons resolve to hold, carrying 2/10 conviction.
Top Market Events
Li Auto Inc. NASDAQ: LI stock traded lower in Monday’s premarket session after the electric vehicle maker reported...Quarterly total revenues reached RMB25.7 billion US$3.8 billion 1Li Auto LI shares dropped after reporting Q2 EPS loss of $0.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 3/10
Key Factors
- Trading below the 200-day average of 16.19
- MACD momentum is negative
- 30-day price change of -5.3%
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Trading below the 200-day average of 16.19
- Analyst targets imply +41.3% versus the current price
- MACD momentum is negative
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 2/10
Key Factors
- Negative profit margin of -4.4%
- Analyst targets imply +41.3% versus the current price
- Negative return on equity of -6.6%
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-15.10%
Profit Margin-4.40%
P/E Ratio12.6
ROE-6.57%
ROA-2.84%
Debt/Equity22.27
P/B Ratio1.3
Op. Cash Flow$-9950179328
Free Cash Flow$-12539945984
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI42.7
Support$12.11
Resistance$13.65
MA 20$12.64
MA 50$12.53
MA 200$16.19
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index95.52
Valuation
Target Price$17.21
Upside/Downside41.31%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta0.68
Volatility38.98%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskHigh
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.