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LGND:NASDAQLigand Pharmaceuticals Incorporated Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-03 - not real-time

$232.76

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Ligand Pharmaceuticals is trading in a bullish technical environment – the 20‑day SMA (≈ 223.9) sits above the 50‑day SMA (≈ 219.2) and both are well under the current price of $232.76, while the MACD histogram remains positive and the RSI hovers at a neutral 57, indicating room for further upside. Support at $200 provides a solid floor, but the stock is approaching a strong resistance near $239, which could cap short‑term gains. The equity exhibits a high 30‑day volatility of about 47% and a beta above 1, suggesting price swings that may challenge risk‑averse investors. Fundamentally, LGND delivers impressive margins – gross margin above 83% and profit margin over 55% – and revenue growth of roughly 14% YoY, driven by a 56% surge in royalty income. However, the forward PE of 20.6 and a current PE of 30.3 both sit above the industry average of 27, and the DCF‑derived fair value of $185 is well below the market price, flagging an overvalued valuation snapshot. Recent news shows a Q1 net loss of $13.3 million despite strong royalty growth and an amended merger agreement with XOMA, adding a layer of earnings uncertainty. Analyst sentiment remains very positive, with a “strong buy” consensus and a median price target of $278, implying roughly 19% upside if the stock can bridge the valuation gap.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Price near technical resistance at $239
  • Recent earnings miss and Q1 loss
  • High short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue and royalty growth
  • Analyst consensus strong‑buy with $278 median target
  • Improving cash position and low net debt

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Sustainable high margins and cash generation
  • Strategic partnership and merger amendment with XOMA
  • Diversified pipeline across multiple therapeutic areas

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth14.10%
Profit Margin55.95%
P/E Ratio30.3
ROE17.13%
ROA5.19%
Debt/Equity45.32
P/B Ratio4.7
Op. Cash Flow$123.5M
Free Cash Flow$142.1M
Industry P/E27.0

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI57.6
Support$200.01
Resistance$238.76
MA 20$223.89
MA 50$219.15
MA 200$195.90
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index93.27

Valuation

Fair Value$184.83
Target Price$277.60
Upside/Downside19.26%
GradeOvervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta1.14
Volatility46.68%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.