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LGND:NASDAQLigand Pharmaceuticals Incorporated Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time

$208.98

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Ligand Pharmaceuticals is trading above its discounted cash‑flow estimate, reflecting strong market optimism fueled by a 14% revenue rise and a 56% jump in royalty income this quarter. The stock sits above its 200‑day moving average but below the 20‑day and 50‑day averages, while a bearish MACD and a neutral‑to‑slightly‑oversold RSI around 41 hint at short‑term downside pressure. Volume has been rising, supporting the bullish trend direction, yet the 30‑day volatility exceeds 50%, underscoring heightened price swings. The company’s forward PE of roughly 18 is well below the industry’s trailing average of 27, suggesting earnings acceleration, and a forward EPS outlook of $11.36 signals robust profitability growth. With a cash pile of $780 M against $452 M of debt, the balance sheet remains solid, though a debt‑to‑equity near 45% points to moderate leverage. The recent acquisition of XOMA Royalty at $39 per share adds over 100 assets, amplifying the royalty‑centric business model that drives the 83% gross margin and 56% profit margin. Analyst sentiment is strongly positive, reflected in a “strong‑buy” consensus and an “Extreme Greed” market tone.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish MACD and proximity to support level
  • Elevated short‑term volatility
  • Positive earnings momentum from royalty growth

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Revenue and EPS acceleration post‑acquisition
  • Forward PE advantage versus industry peers
  • Strong cash position and expanding royalty portfolio

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Sustained high margins and robust ROE
  • Strategic asset accumulation through XOMA Royalty
  • Favorable industry dynamics for biopharma royalty aggregators

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth14.10%
Profit Margin55.95%
P/E Ratio27.2
ROE17.13%
ROA5.19%
Debt/Equity45.32
P/B Ratio4.2
Op. Cash Flow$123.5M
Free Cash Flow$142.1M
Industry P/E27.2

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI41.5
Support$200.01
Resistance$247.38
MA 20$224.01
MA 50$215.61
MA 200$192.15
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.34

Valuation

Fair Value$181.83
Target Price$271.80
Upside/Downside30.06%
GradeFair
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta1.08
Volatility52.83%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.