LGN:NASDAQLegence Corp. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time
$86.00
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Legence Corp. (LGN) is trading at $86, comfortably above its 20‑day ($84.56) and 50‑day ($81.45) SMAs and the 200‑day SMA ($53.68), indicating a bullish price bias. The RSI sits at 52, suggesting neutral momentum, while the MACD is in a bearish configuration (negative histogram, bearish signal). Volatility is elevated at 67% over the past 30 days and the stock’s beta of 2.5 signals strong sensitivity to market swings.
The company just reported a spectacular 105% YoY revenue jump to $1.04 B in Q1, lifted its full‑year 2026 revenue outlook to $4.1‑$4.3 B and boasts a record $5.38 B backlog, underscoring robust demand in data‑center and technology projects. However, margins remain thin (gross 19.8%, operating 3.2%) and the firm posted a modest loss (‑0.7% profit margin) with a trailing EPS of –$0.34, while carrying $1.18 B of debt (Debt/Equity ≈ 124%). The DCF‑derived fair value of $67.4 is well below the current price, pointing to an overvalued valuation despite the growth narrative.
The company just reported a spectacular 105% YoY revenue jump to $1.04 B in Q1, lifted its full‑year 2026 revenue outlook to $4.1‑$4.3 B and boasts a record $5.38 B backlog, underscoring robust demand in data‑center and technology projects. However, margins remain thin (gross 19.8%, operating 3.2%) and the firm posted a modest loss (‑0.7% profit margin) with a trailing EPS of –$0.34, while carrying $1.18 B of debt (Debt/Equity ≈ 124%). The DCF‑derived fair value of $67.4 is well below the current price, pointing to an overvalued valuation despite the growth narrative.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Price above key moving averages supports bullish bias
- Bearish MACD and decreasing volume signal short‑term weakness
- High volatility and beta increase downside risk
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Revenue surged 105% YoY and backlog grew >100%
- Forward EPS turning positive and guidance raised
- Secular demand for data‑center HVAC and MEP services
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Strong secular growth tailwinds in the engineering & construction sector
- Elevated leverage and thin margins constrain profitability
- Current price exceeds DCF fair value, limiting upside potential
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth105.10%
Profit Margin-0.73%
P/E Ratio48.5
ROE-7.22%
ROA2.40%
Debt/Equity123.90
P/B Ratio14.0
Op. Cash Flow$347.5M
Free Cash Flow$331.3M
Industry P/E30.6
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI52.1
Support$77.55
Resistance$90.35
MA 20$84.56
MA 50$81.45
MA 200$53.68
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Fair Value$67.41
Target Price$105.24
Upside/Downside22.37%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta2.50
Volatility67.00%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.