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LAMR:NASDAQLamar Advertising Company Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-19 - not real-time

$147.49

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Lamar Advertising (LAMR) is trading at $147.49, comfortably above its 20‑day ($141.76), 50‑day ($135.16) and 200‑day ($128.84) SMAs, with a bullish MACD crossover (line $4.07 vs signal $3.89) and an RSI of 60, indicating continued upward momentum. Revenue is expanding modestly, with total revenue up 4.4% YoY and digital billboards contributing a 5% same‑board increase, now representing just under 31% of total billings; programmatic revenue surged ~25% to $11 M. The company delivered $101.8 M of net income and $226.3 M of adjusted EBITDA in the latest quarter, supporting an operating cash flow of $883.7 M and free cash flow of $540.9 M. Dividend yield remains attractive at 4.34%, but the payout ratio exceeds 115%, raising sustainability concerns given a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 505% and $4.96 B of debt versus only $39 M of cash. Valuation metrics show a PE of 27.3 versus an industry average of 32.1, suggesting relative cheapness, yet the price‑to‑book of 14.8 and a DCF fair value of $35.1 highlight a substantial premium. Market sentiment is very positive (Fear & Greed Index “Extreme Greed”) and shares have rallied 20.3% over the past three months, but upside to the $158.69 resistance is limited to roughly 5.5%.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish technical indicators and recent price momentum
  • High dividend yield offset by unsustainable payout ratio
  • Limited near‑term upside to resistance at $158.69

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Steady revenue growth driven by digital and programmatic expansion
  • Attractive dividend yield relative to peers
  • Valuation discount to industry PE average with modest upside potential

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Elevated leverage (debt‑to‑equity >500%) could constrain cash flow
  • Dividend sustainability risk due to >100% payout ratio
  • Long‑term secular shift toward digital out‑of‑home advertising

Key Metrics & Analysis

REIT Metrics

P/FFO16.9363643625714

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI60.4
Support$132.34
Resistance$158.69
MA 20$141.76
MA 50$135.16
MA 200$128.84
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.61

Risk Assessment

Beta0.62
Volatility30.89%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.