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LAMR:NASDAQLamar Advertising Company Analysis

Data as of 2026-04-14 - not real-time

$132.92

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Lamar Advertising (LAMR) trades at $132.92, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 128.70 but still below the 200‑day SMA of 126.80, indicating a neutral price trend. The stock sits on a solid support level around $122.31 with resistance near $135.12, and the RSI of 58 suggests modest buying pressure without being overbought. Technical momentum is slightly bullish, as the MACD histogram is positive and the MACD signal is flagged “bullish,” while volume trends are decreasing, hinting at a potential consolidation phase. The dividend yield of 4.8% is attractive for income‑focused investors, though the payout ratio exceeds 100% (107%), raising concerns about sustainability. Valuation appears reasonable with a P/E of 23.1 well below the industry average of 32.9, and the upside/downside metric points to a modest 5.2% upside toward the DCF fair value estimate. Recent news highlights strong analyst sentiment, with hedge funds labeling LAMR a top NASDAQ pick and analysts lifting the price target to $150, supported by expectations of revenue growth and a robust 2026 event calendar.
The balance sheet shows a high leverage profile, evidenced by a debt‑to‑equity ratio of 480, which is a material risk factor despite a solid operating cash flow of $864 M and free cash flow of $538 M. Low beta (0.66) indicates limited price volatility relative to the market, and geographic risk is minimal as the company’s assets are concentrated in the United States and Canada. Overall, the combination of a strong dividend, favorable relative valuation, and positive technical signals supports a cautiously optimistic stance, while the elevated leverage and high payout ratio temper enthusiasm for longer‑term exposure.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Bullish MACD and supportive technical levels
  • Attractive dividend yield with near‑term price stability
  • Decreasing volume suggesting limited short‑term upside

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Analyst price target lift to $150 and positive earnings outlook
  • Relative valuation advantage (P/E below industry average)
  • Strong cash flow generation to service debt

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • High leverage (debt‑to‑equity ~480) and >100% payout ratio
  • Potential regulatory or market shifts affecting out‑of‑home advertising
  • Sustained dividend yield but risk of cut if cash flow pressures increase

Key Metrics & Analysis

REIT Metrics

P/FFO15.605144774748336

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI58.1
Support$122.31
Resistance$135.12
MA 20$128.70
MA 50$131.73
MA 200$126.80
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.29

Risk Assessment

Beta0.66
Volatility20.45%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.