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LADR:NYSELadder Capital Corp Analysis

Data as of 2026-05-26 - not real-time

$10.13

Latest Price

6/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Ladder Capital trades at $10.13, just above its 20‑day SMA of 10.14 and below the 200‑day SMA of 10.72, signaling a neutral price stance. The stock offers an eye‑catching 9.08% dividend yield but the payout ratio exceeds 200%, raising concerns about sustainability. Valuation metrics look attractive: a trailing P/E of 23 versus the industry average of 32.7, a forward P/E of 8.5, and a price‑to‑book of 0.89 indicate a discount to book value. However, the balance sheet is heavily leveraged with a debt‑to‑equity ratio near 280, and cash reserves of only $33 M against $4.04 B of debt. Recent Q1 results showed distributable earnings of $28 M ($0.22 per share) but GAAP earnings of just $0.02 per share, missing analyst forecasts and underscoring earnings volatility.
The technical outlook is mixed: RSI sits at 50.5 (neutral), MACD is bearish, and the price is sandwiched between a support level of $9.85 and resistance at $10.48. Volume is increasing, suggesting active trading, while beta of 0.61 points to lower market sensitivity. Analyst consensus projects a upside of roughly 22% with a median target of $12.50, but the high leverage and dividend payout risk temper enthusiasm for the longer horizon.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Q1 earnings miss and modest distributable EPS
  • High dividend yield offset by >200% payout ratio
  • Price near technical support at $9.85

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Discounted valuation (P/B 0.89, forward P/E 8.5)
  • Strong loan origination growth and portfolio expansion
  • Analyst upside potential of ~22% and median price target $12.50

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Elevated leverage (debt‑to‑equity ~280) and balance‑sheet risk
  • Uncertain dividend sustainability given high payout ratio
  • Sensitivity to interest‑rate environment affecting mortgage REITs

Key Metrics & Analysis

REIT Metrics

P/FFO11.995873678740129

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI50.5
Support$9.85
Resistance$10.48
MA 20$10.14
MA 50$10.08
MA 200$10.72
MACDBearish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.41

Risk Assessment

Beta0.61
Volatility17.57%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.