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LAD:NYSELithia Motors, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-14 - not real-time

$313.38

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

Lithia Motors is trading just below its recent resistance level with a high RSI that signals overbought conditions, while the MACD remains bullish, suggesting short‑term upward momentum may be limited. The stock’s price‑to‑earnings and price‑to‑book ratios are well below industry averages, indicating a valuation edge, but the company carries an exceptionally high debt‑to‑equity ratio and negative operating cash flow, which tempers the upside. Volatility is elevated and beta modestly above one, reflecting sensitivity to broader market swings in the consumer‑cyclical auto retail space.
Recent material news includes a $500 million increase to the share‑repurchase program and a climb up the Fortune 500 list, both of which bolster the narrative of confidence from management. However, the heavy debt load and modest free‑cash‑flow generation raise concerns about the sustainability of the dividend and the ability to fund future growth, suggesting investors should weigh the valuation upside against balance‑sheet risk.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Neutral
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • RSI approaching overbought territory
  • Bullish MACD but price near resistance
  • Decreasing volume trend

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Attractive valuation multiples (low PE, low P/B)
  • Share‑repurchase authorization expansion
  • Improving market perception (Fortune 500 climb)

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Value‑oriented pricing relative to fundamentals
  • Potential for debt reduction and cash‑flow improvement
  • Stable, albeit modest, dividend yield

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth1.00%
Profit Margin1.88%
P/E Ratio10.9
ROE10.87%
ROA3.96%
Debt/Equity251.65
P/B Ratio1.1
Op. Cash Flow$-73800000
Free Cash Flow$500.4M

Technical Analysis

TrendNeutral
RSI69.8
Support$254.58
Resistance$317.19
MA 20$287.71
MA 50$281.94
MA 200$303.95
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Target Price$370.25
Upside/Downside18.15%
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield0.73%

Risk Assessment

Beta1.06
Volatility35.83%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskLow
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.