KUST:NASDAQKustom Entertainment, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-13 - not real-time
$0.71
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Technical outlook: KUST is trading at $0.71, well below its 20‑day SMA (0.68) and far beneath the 50‑day (1.01) and 200‑day (3.87) averages, confirming a bearish trend. The RSI sits at 42, suggesting limited upside momentum, while the MACD line remains negative though the histogram has turned slightly positive, hinting at a tentative near‑term bounce. Price is perched above the calculated support of $0.49 but well under the $0.95 resistance, with volume trending upward and 30‑day volatility soaring above 108%. A computed beta of 2.8 underscores extreme sensitivity to market swings.
Fundamental outlook: The company generated $19 M in revenue with 12% YoY growth, yet margins are deeply in the red (gross 22.6%, operating –24.7%, profit –45%). Cash balances ($0.79 M) are dwarfed by debt ($4.04 M) yielding a debt‑to‑equity of 53.8, and both operating and free cash flow are strongly negative. The stock trades at a razor‑thin price‑to‑book of 0.047 and a price‑to‑sales of 0.03, reflecting a massive discount to underlying assets, but the max drawdown of nearly 100% and an “Extreme Greed” market sentiment (Fear‑Greed Index 87.3) highlight the speculative nature of any rebound.
Fundamental outlook: The company generated $19 M in revenue with 12% YoY growth, yet margins are deeply in the red (gross 22.6%, operating –24.7%, profit –45%). Cash balances ($0.79 M) are dwarfed by debt ($4.04 M) yielding a debt‑to‑equity of 53.8, and both operating and free cash flow are strongly negative. The stock trades at a razor‑thin price‑to‑book of 0.047 and a price‑to‑sales of 0.03, reflecting a massive discount to underlying assets, but the max drawdown of nearly 100% and an “Extreme Greed” market sentiment (Fear‑Greed Index 87.3) highlight the speculative nature of any rebound.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Bearish technical positioning below key moving averages
- High volatility and beta indicating volatile price swings
- Negative cash flows and heavy debt burden
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Revenue growth of 12% suggests top‑line momentum
- Extreme valuation discount (PB 0.047, PS 0.03) offers upside potential
- Continued operating losses and liquidity constraints
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Deep asset‑backed discount could reward a successful turnaround
- Potential strategic pivots following recent rebranding
- Long‑run sector recovery in entertainment and law‑enforcement tech
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth12.00%
Profit Margin-45.36%
ROE-334.49%
ROA-14.08%
Debt/Equity53.77
P/B Ratio0.0
Op. Cash Flow$-10025126
Free Cash Flow$-11883085
Industry P/E18.6
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI42.1
Support$0.49
Resistance$0.95
MA 20$0.68
MA 50$1.01
MA 200$3.87
MACDBullish
VolumeIncreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.29
Valuation
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta2.83
Volatility108.63%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskHigh
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.