KURA:NASDAQKura Oncology, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-07-31 - not real-time
$9.36
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Kura Oncology (KURA) is trading at $9.36, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 10.70 and 50‑day SMA of 10.21, indicating a short‑term bullish bias, while the 200‑day SMA of 9.65 supports a longer‑term uptrend. RSI at 37.7 suggests modest downside momentum, and a bearish MACD histogram reinforces a near‑term pullback risk, compounded by a decreasing volume trend. The stock exhibits a high 30‑day volatility of 56% and a computed beta of 1.45, reflecting sensitivity to market swings, and the Fear & Greed Index is at an extreme‑greed 91.16, hinting at possible over‑optimism. On the fundamentals side, revenue surged 29.5% to $71.6 M, yet the company posts a widening loss (trailing EPS –$3.50) with negative gross (‑2.6%) and operating (‑4.3%) margins and a hefty EBITDA deficit of $‑316.6 M. Despite the loss, KURA holds a strong cash buffer of $580.8 M against modest debt of $24.3 M, providing runway for its clinical programs. Analysts collectively rate the stock as a strong buy with a median price target of $28, implying a potential upside of over 230%, while upcoming long‑term follow‑up data on Darlifarnib at KCRS 2026 could serve as a catalyst.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Upcoming Darlifarnib long‑term follow‑up data at KCRS 2026
- Bearish MACD and decreasing volume indicating near‑term pullback risk
- Recent earnings loss widening, pressuring short‑term sentiment
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- Strong revenue growth of 29.5% and ample cash runway
- Analyst consensus strong‑buy with median target $28
- High upside potential (>200%) despite current valuation multiples
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- Potential FDA approvals for menin inhibitors and Darlifarnib
- Strategic inclusion in Russell Growth Indexes enhancing visibility
- Robust cash position offsetting high beta and sector volatility
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth29.50%
P/E Ratio-3.6
ROE-124.74%
ROA-28.44%
Debt/Equity22.50
P/B Ratio7.7
Op. Cash Flow$-77985000
Free Cash Flow$-129832496
Industry P/E29.1
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI37.7
Support$8.82
Resistance$12.22
MA 20$10.70
MA 50$10.21
MA 200$9.65
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.16
Valuation
Target Price$31.17
Upside/Downside232.98%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth
Risk Assessment
Beta1.45
Volatility56.02%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.