We use cookies to analyze site traffic and improve your experience.
By accepting, you consent to the use of analytics cookies.

KURA:NASDAQKura Oncology, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-07-31 - not real-time

$9.36

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Kura Oncology (KURA) is trading at $9.36, comfortably above its 20‑day SMA of 10.70 and 50‑day SMA of 10.21, indicating a short‑term bullish bias, while the 200‑day SMA of 9.65 supports a longer‑term uptrend. RSI at 37.7 suggests modest downside momentum, and a bearish MACD histogram reinforces a near‑term pullback risk, compounded by a decreasing volume trend. The stock exhibits a high 30‑day volatility of 56% and a computed beta of 1.45, reflecting sensitivity to market swings, and the Fear & Greed Index is at an extreme‑greed 91.16, hinting at possible over‑optimism. On the fundamentals side, revenue surged 29.5% to $71.6 M, yet the company posts a widening loss (trailing EPS –$3.50) with negative gross (‑2.6%) and operating (‑4.3%) margins and a hefty EBITDA deficit of $‑316.6 M. Despite the loss, KURA holds a strong cash buffer of $580.8 M against modest debt of $24.3 M, providing runway for its clinical programs. Analysts collectively rate the stock as a strong buy with a median price target of $28, implying a potential upside of over 230%, while upcoming long‑term follow‑up data on Darlifarnib at KCRS 2026 could serve as a catalyst.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Upcoming Darlifarnib long‑term follow‑up data at KCRS 2026
  • Bearish MACD and decreasing volume indicating near‑term pullback risk
  • Recent earnings loss widening, pressuring short‑term sentiment

Medium Term

1–3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 8/10

Key Factors

  • Strong revenue growth of 29.5% and ample cash runway
  • Analyst consensus strong‑buy with median target $28
  • High upside potential (>200%) despite current valuation multiples

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 9/10

Key Factors

  • Potential FDA approvals for menin inhibitors and Darlifarnib
  • Strategic inclusion in Russell Growth Indexes enhancing visibility
  • Robust cash position offsetting high beta and sector volatility

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth29.50%
P/E Ratio-3.6
ROE-124.74%
ROA-28.44%
Debt/Equity22.50
P/B Ratio7.7
Op. Cash Flow$-77985000
Free Cash Flow$-129832496
Industry P/E29.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI37.7
Support$8.82
Resistance$12.22
MA 20$10.70
MA 50$10.21
MA 200$9.65
MACDBearish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index91.16

Valuation

Target Price$31.17
Upside/Downside232.98%
GradeOvervalued
TypeGrowth

Risk Assessment

Beta1.45
Volatility56.02%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.