KTB:NYSEKontoor Brands, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-04-13 - not real-time
$73.12
Latest Price
6/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
Kontoor Brands (KTB) is trading at $73.12, comfortably above its 20‑day ($69.47) and 50‑day ($68.57) simple moving averages, indicating short‑term bullish momentum. The MACD line remains above its signal line with a positive histogram, reinforcing the upward bias. However, the RSI sits at 58, suggesting the stock is not yet overbought and still has room to climb toward the identified resistance around $75.19. Volume has been trending down, which could temper near‑term upside as buying pressure eases. The 30‑day volatility of roughly 72% and a beta above 1 signal a higher‑than‑average price swing relative to the market.
On the fundamentals side, KTB posted 45.6% revenue growth and a 47% ROE, while the forward PE of 10.4 implies earnings are expected to accelerate sharply. The DCF‑derived fair value of $147.7 and analyst median target of $95 translate to a potential upside of 20‑30% from current levels, classifying the stock as undervalued. A dividend yield of 2.95% with a payout ratio near 52% is supported by strong operating cash flow and free cash flow, making the dividend sustainable. The company’s global footprint across the Americas, Europe, and Asia‑Pacific adds diversification but also introduces medium geographic and currency exposure. Overall, the blend of growth drivers, attractive valuation and a reliable dividend makes KTB a compelling buy for investors with a medium‑to‑long horizon.
On the fundamentals side, KTB posted 45.6% revenue growth and a 47% ROE, while the forward PE of 10.4 implies earnings are expected to accelerate sharply. The DCF‑derived fair value of $147.7 and analyst median target of $95 translate to a potential upside of 20‑30% from current levels, classifying the stock as undervalued. A dividend yield of 2.95% with a payout ratio near 52% is supported by strong operating cash flow and free cash flow, making the dividend sustainable. The company’s global footprint across the Americas, Europe, and Asia‑Pacific adds diversification but also introduces medium geographic and currency exposure. Overall, the blend of growth drivers, attractive valuation and a reliable dividend makes KTB a compelling buy for investors with a medium‑to‑long horizon.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price nearing resistance at $75.19
- decreasing volume trend
- bullish MACD but neutral RSI
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 8/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value indicates significant upside
- strong revenue growth and high ROE
- sustainable dividend yield
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 9/10
Key Factors
- long‑term earnings expansion
- brand portfolio with Wrangler and Helly Hansen
- attractive valuation relative to peers
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth45.60%
Profit Margin7.22%
P/E Ratio18.1
ROE47.14%
ROA13.94%
Debt/Equity229.06
P/B Ratio7.2
Op. Cash Flow$455.8M
Free Cash Flow$253.7M
Technical Analysis
TrendNeutral
RSI58.2
Support$65.69
Resistance$75.19
MA 20$69.47
MA 50$68.57
MA 200$70.46
MACDBullish
VolumeDecreasing
Fear & Greed Index87.29
Valuation
Fair Value$147.70
Target Price$92.67
Upside/Downside26.73%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Dividend Yield2.95%
Risk Assessment
Beta1.18
Volatility71.78%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.