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KROS:NASDAQKeros Therapeutics, Inc. Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-18 - not real-time

$10.65

Latest Price

8/10Risk

Risk Level: High

Executive Summary

Keros Therapeutics trades at $10.65, well below its 20‑day (10.61), 50‑day (11.09) and 200‑day (14.97) simple moving averages, confirming a bearish price trend. The RSI sits at 49.8, indicating no clear momentum, while the MACD line is slightly above its signal, giving a marginal bullish hint but not enough to offset the overall downtrend. The stock sits above a near‑term support of $9.69 and below resistance at $11.63, with 30‑day volatility soaring above 54% and a beta above 1, suggesting heightened price swings.
Fundamentally, KROS reports a massive revenue decline (‑99.8%) and deep negative margins (gross ‑184%, operating ‑70%). Despite a strong cash position of $281.5 M, the company burns cash (operating cash flow ‑$57.2 M) and carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 5.7. Valuation metrics show the price is below book (P/B 0.74) and the market expects a potential upside of over 100% per analyst targets, yet earnings missed expectations with a 31% negative surprise. The biotech sector’s regulatory risk and the company’s clinical‑stage pipeline add further uncertainty.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 5/10

Key Factors

  • Bearish technical alignment (price below all SMAs)
  • Recent earnings miss and widening loss
  • High short‑term volatility

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • Strong cash cushion relative to debt
  • Potential upside from analyst price targets
  • Uncertainty around clinical trial outcomes

Long Term

> 3 years
Positive
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • Undervalued price relative to book value
  • Strategic collaborations with Hansoh and Takeda
  • Long‑run value creation if pipeline advances successfully

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-99.80%
Profit Margin-256.60%
P/E Ratio-1.9
ROE-16.79%
ROA-12.23%
Debt/Equity5.71
P/B Ratio0.7
Op. Cash Flow$-57195000
Free Cash Flow$-37688500
Industry P/E24.1

Technical Analysis

TrendBearish
RSI49.8
Support$9.69
Resistance$11.63
MA 20$10.61
MA 50$11.09
MA 200$14.97
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.14

Valuation

Target Price$21.83
Upside/Downside105.01%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend

Risk Assessment

Beta1.21
Volatility54.37%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.