KROS:NASDAQKeros Therapeutics, Inc. Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-18 - not real-time
$10.65
Latest Price
8/10Risk
Risk Level: High
Executive Summary
Keros Therapeutics trades at $10.65, well below its 20‑day (10.61), 50‑day (11.09) and 200‑day (14.97) simple moving averages, confirming a bearish price trend. The RSI sits at 49.8, indicating no clear momentum, while the MACD line is slightly above its signal, giving a marginal bullish hint but not enough to offset the overall downtrend. The stock sits above a near‑term support of $9.69 and below resistance at $11.63, with 30‑day volatility soaring above 54% and a beta above 1, suggesting heightened price swings.
Fundamentally, KROS reports a massive revenue decline (‑99.8%) and deep negative margins (gross ‑184%, operating ‑70%). Despite a strong cash position of $281.5 M, the company burns cash (operating cash flow ‑$57.2 M) and carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 5.7. Valuation metrics show the price is below book (P/B 0.74) and the market expects a potential upside of over 100% per analyst targets, yet earnings missed expectations with a 31% negative surprise. The biotech sector’s regulatory risk and the company’s clinical‑stage pipeline add further uncertainty.
Fundamentally, KROS reports a massive revenue decline (‑99.8%) and deep negative margins (gross ‑184%, operating ‑70%). Despite a strong cash position of $281.5 M, the company burns cash (operating cash flow ‑$57.2 M) and carries a high debt‑to‑equity ratio of 5.7. Valuation metrics show the price is below book (P/B 0.74) and the market expects a potential upside of over 100% per analyst targets, yet earnings missed expectations with a 31% negative surprise. The biotech sector’s regulatory risk and the company’s clinical‑stage pipeline add further uncertainty.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Bearish technical alignment (price below all SMAs)
- Recent earnings miss and widening loss
- High short‑term volatility
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- Strong cash cushion relative to debt
- Potential upside from analyst price targets
- Uncertainty around clinical trial outcomes
Long Term
> 3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- Undervalued price relative to book value
- Strategic collaborations with Hansoh and Takeda
- Long‑run value creation if pipeline advances successfully
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-99.80%
Profit Margin-256.60%
P/E Ratio-1.9
ROE-16.79%
ROA-12.23%
Debt/Equity5.71
P/B Ratio0.7
Op. Cash Flow$-57195000
Free Cash Flow$-37688500
Industry P/E24.1
Technical Analysis
TrendBearish
RSI49.8
Support$9.69
Resistance$11.63
MA 20$10.61
MA 50$11.09
MA 200$14.97
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index92.14
Valuation
Target Price$21.83
Upside/Downside105.01%
GradeUndervalued
TypeBlend
Risk Assessment
Beta1.21
Volatility54.37%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskHigh
Geo RiskLow
Currency RiskLow
Liquidity RiskMedium
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.