KRDMA:BISTKardemir Karabiik Demir celik Sanayi ve Ticaret A.S. Class A Analysis
Data as of 2026-05-23 - not real-time
TRY 35.84
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
KRDMA trades at 35.84 TRY, just below its 20‑day SMA (37.30) but comfortably above the 50‑day (33.45) and 200‑day (30.72) averages, indicating a short‑term pull‑back within a longer‑term bullish backdrop. The RSI sits at a neutral 49, while the MACD histogram is negative and the MACD line trails its signal, flagging bearish momentum divergence. Volatility is elevated (~70 %) yet beta is low (0.40), meaning price swings are sharp but less correlated with the market. The DCF‑derived fair value of ~76 TRY is more than double the current price and the price‑to‑book ratio of 0.48 highlights a deep discount to book.
Fundamentally, the company struggles: trailing EPS is –1.48 TRY, profit margin is only 0.45 %, ROE is 0.38 %, and free cash flow is negative, while debt‑to‑equity is an alarming 8.77, leaving net debt around 3.6 B TRY. Although Kardemir appears on the Istanbul Chamber of Industry’s top‑500 industrial list, it pays no dividend and cash generation is weak. With support near 32.40 TRY and resistance around 43.82 TRY, upside is limited unless earnings improve or debt restructuring occurs.
Fundamentally, the company struggles: trailing EPS is –1.48 TRY, profit margin is only 0.45 %, ROE is 0.38 %, and free cash flow is negative, while debt‑to‑equity is an alarming 8.77, leaving net debt around 3.6 B TRY. Although Kardemir appears on the Istanbul Chamber of Industry’s top‑500 industrial list, it pays no dividend and cash generation is weak. With support near 32.40 TRY and resistance around 43.82 TRY, upside is limited unless earnings improve or debt restructuring occurs.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearNeutral
Model confidence: 5/10
Key Factors
- Price near short‑term support at 32.40 TRY
- Bearish MACD divergence despite overall bullish trend
- High volatility and low market beta
Medium Term
1–3 yearsPositive
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- DCF fair value (~76 TRY) suggests significant upside
- Low price‑to‑book (0.48) and strong asset base
- Potential for debt restructuring and earnings turnaround
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 4/10
Key Factors
- Structural high leverage (debt‑to‑equity 8.77)
- Persistently low profitability and negative EPS
- Cyclical steel industry and exposure to Turkish macro risks
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth1.30%
Profit Margin0.45%
ROE0.38%
ROA2.33%
Debt/Equity8.77
P/B Ratio0.5
Op. Cash FlowTRY9.7B
Free Cash FlowTRY-1920221696
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI49.2
SupportTRY 32.40
ResistanceTRY 43.82
MA 20TRY 37.30
MA 50TRY 33.45
MA 200TRY 30.72
MACDBearish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index91.61
Valuation
Fair ValueTRY 76.08
GradeUndervalued
TypeValue
Risk Assessment
Beta0.40
Volatility69.99%
Sector RiskHigh
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskHigh
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.