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KNIN:SIXKuehne & Nagel International AG Analysis

Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time

CHF 195.55

Latest Price

7/10Risk

Risk Level: Medium

Executive Summary

The stock is trading well above its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages, confirming a bullish price trend, while the MACD shows a bullish crossover. However, the RSI is in overbought territory and the price is perched near a key resistance level, suggesting limited upside. A discounted cash‑flow model values the company far below the current market price, resulting in a negative upside/downside expectation, which flags a potential overvaluation.
Fundamentally, revenue is contracting and margins are thin, with a high debt‑to‑equity ratio that dwarfs the cash position. The dividend yield looks attractive, but the payout ratio exceeds 100%, raising concerns about sustainability. The forward P/E is lower than the current P/E and modestly below the industry average, positioning the stock more on the value side, yet the combination of leverage, earnings pressure and overbought technicals elevates the overall risk profile.

Market Outlook

Short Term

< 1 year
Cautious
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • price near resistance with overbought RSI
  • DCF valuation indicates significant overvaluation
  • dividend payout ratio exceeds 100% and appears unsustainable

Medium Term

1–3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 7/10

Key Factors

  • forward P/E improving relative to current valuation
  • global logistics demand expected to recover
  • stable trading volume and low beta suggest limited market volatility

Long Term

> 3 years
Neutral
Model confidence: 6/10

Key Factors

  • strong ROE despite high leverage
  • diversified geographic footprint across major trade lanes
  • potential for operational improvements and margin expansion

Key Metrics & Analysis

Financial Health

Revenue Growth-11.50%
Profit Margin3.52%
P/E Ratio27.9
ROE32.28%
ROA6.03%
Debt/Equity144.88
P/B Ratio9.4
Op. Cash FlowCHF1.7B
Free Cash FlowCHF377.6M
Industry P/E30.6

Technical Analysis

TrendBullish
RSI71.1
SupportCHF 170.40
ResistanceCHF 197.15
MA 20CHF 183.30
MA 50CHF 182.52
MA 200CHF 170.57
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86

Valuation

Fair ValueCHF 17.89
Target PriceCHF 183.61
Upside/Downside-6.11%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.07%

Risk Assessment

Beta0.20
Volatility28.50%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow

This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.