KNIN:SIXKuehne & Nagel International AG Analysis
Data as of 2026-06-13 - not real-time
CHF 195.55
Latest Price
7/10Risk
Risk Level: Medium
Executive Summary
The stock is trading well above its 20‑day, 50‑day and 200‑day moving averages, confirming a bullish price trend, while the MACD shows a bullish crossover. However, the RSI is in overbought territory and the price is perched near a key resistance level, suggesting limited upside. A discounted cash‑flow model values the company far below the current market price, resulting in a negative upside/downside expectation, which flags a potential overvaluation.
Fundamentally, revenue is contracting and margins are thin, with a high debt‑to‑equity ratio that dwarfs the cash position. The dividend yield looks attractive, but the payout ratio exceeds 100%, raising concerns about sustainability. The forward P/E is lower than the current P/E and modestly below the industry average, positioning the stock more on the value side, yet the combination of leverage, earnings pressure and overbought technicals elevates the overall risk profile.
Fundamentally, revenue is contracting and margins are thin, with a high debt‑to‑equity ratio that dwarfs the cash position. The dividend yield looks attractive, but the payout ratio exceeds 100%, raising concerns about sustainability. The forward P/E is lower than the current P/E and modestly below the industry average, positioning the stock more on the value side, yet the combination of leverage, earnings pressure and overbought technicals elevates the overall risk profile.
Market Outlook
Short Term
< 1 yearCautious
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- price near resistance with overbought RSI
- DCF valuation indicates significant overvaluation
- dividend payout ratio exceeds 100% and appears unsustainable
Medium Term
1–3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 7/10
Key Factors
- forward P/E improving relative to current valuation
- global logistics demand expected to recover
- stable trading volume and low beta suggest limited market volatility
Long Term
> 3 yearsNeutral
Model confidence: 6/10
Key Factors
- strong ROE despite high leverage
- diversified geographic footprint across major trade lanes
- potential for operational improvements and margin expansion
Key Metrics & Analysis
Financial Health
Revenue Growth-11.50%
Profit Margin3.52%
P/E Ratio27.9
ROE32.28%
ROA6.03%
Debt/Equity144.88
P/B Ratio9.4
Op. Cash FlowCHF1.7B
Free Cash FlowCHF377.6M
Industry P/E30.6
Technical Analysis
TrendBullish
RSI71.1
SupportCHF 170.40
ResistanceCHF 197.15
MA 20CHF 183.30
MA 50CHF 182.52
MA 200CHF 170.57
MACDBullish
VolumeStable
Fear & Greed Index89.86
Valuation
Fair ValueCHF 17.89
Target PriceCHF 183.61
Upside/Downside-6.11%
GradeOvervalued
TypeValue
Dividend Yield3.07%
Risk Assessment
Beta0.20
Volatility28.50%
Sector RiskMedium
Reg. RiskMedium
Geo RiskMedium
Currency RiskMedium
Liquidity RiskLow
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This analysis may contain inaccuracies and is provided for informational and research purposes only. It is not personal investment advice, a recommendation, or an instruction to buy, sell, or hold any asset.